Created Thu 18th Sep 6:48pm PDT by ratel

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Will the Green Party match or beat the NDP in a major poll before election day?

No such poll finding. http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html (see bottom of page for poll splits)

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. This url (<a href="http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/10/f-polls.html">http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/10/f-polls.html<;/a>) is a good place to look. Any major poll is acceptable, a non-exhaustive list would be Harris-Decima, ekos, or any national newspaper or tv network. Question to be settled yes if the Green's equal or beat the national support level of the conservatives.

Will the Green Party match or beat the NDP in a major poll before election day?

    Yes

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Forecast history, %

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Settled

	Yes	6%
	No	94%

Activity: H$915

Settled as No on Wed 15th Oct 10:10am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 10:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Sep 6:48pm PDT by ratel

Changed Description Sat 11th Oct 9:41am PDT by infernalmachine

Changed Settlement info Sat 11th Oct 9:41am PDT by infernalmachine: show details

... source. This url (<a href='="http://www.cbc.ca/news/ ... /09/10/f-polls.html'>">http://www.cbc.ca/news/

Changed Suspend date Sat 11th Oct 9:41am PDT by infernalmachine: was: "2008-10-14 15:59:00"

Changed Settlement info Sat 11th Oct 9:42am PDT by infernalmachine: show details

... mainstream news source. This url (<(&lt;a href="<a href="http://www.cbc. ... 09/10/f-polls.html</a>"><a href="http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/10/f-polls.html&lt">http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/10/f-polls.html&lt</a>;/a>) is a good place

Changed Suspend date Sat 11th Oct 9:42am PDT by infernalmachine: was: "2008-10-14 14:00:00"

Suspended Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Wed 15th Oct 3:02am PDT by mork: http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html

Settled as 'No' Wed 15th Oct 10:10am PDT by infernalmachine: No such poll finding. http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html (see bottom of page for poll splits)

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Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 10:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (8)

8 predictions

6 weeks ago

storekeeperathscm predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

6 weeks ago

dr42 predicted No (H$65 at 94%)

6 weeks ago

crstals predicted No (H$200 at 94%)

6 weeks ago

gcawood predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

7 weeks ago

canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$50 at 6%)

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6 weeks ago

storekeeperathscm predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

6 weeks ago

dr42 predicted No (H$65 at 94%)

6 weeks ago

crstals predicted No (H$200 at 94%)

6 weeks ago

gcawood predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

7 weeks ago

canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$50 at 6%)

8 weeks ago

canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$100 at 6%)

8 weeks ago

ratel predicted Yes (H$100 at 5%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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