
Will the Green Party match or beat the NDP in a major poll before election day?
No such poll finding. http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html (see bottom of page for poll splits)
Background:>
Initial probability : 5%
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This url (<a href="http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/10/f-polls.html">http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/10/f-polls.html</a>) is a good place to look. Any major poll is acceptable, a non-exhaustive list would be Harris-Decima, ekos, or any national newspaper or tv network. Question to be settled yes if the Green's equal or beat the national support level of the conservatives.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 10:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 10:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Oct 11pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (8)
8 predictions
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