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How many people were killed/will die from injuries in a month after the Pakistani hotel bombing?

Voided

After doing some research on the death toll, I've discovered recent reports that run from 53 http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-10/23/content_10240687.htm to "over 60" http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jAnViJd9Qt-eXWbG5LdsFSCRK7hg

Since there is no single figure, the question cannot be settled.

Background:

[link]http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,425676,00.html[/link]

At least sixty are reported dead in a truck bombing of the Marriott Hotel in Islamabad, Pakistan.
At least one American is among the dead.

This question is asking how many people will be reported dead one month after the bombing; October, 20.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

0-60
10%
61-70
30%
71-80
20%
81-90
20%
91-100
10%
101 or more
10%
Voided Thu 23rd Oct 1:55pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 20th Oct 10:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: 0-60: 10%, 61-70: 30%, 71-80: 20%, 81-90: 20%, 91-100: 10%, 101 or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 20th Sep 1:49pm PDT by skipper[Power User]
Suspended Mon 20th Oct 10:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Voided Thu 23rd Oct 1:55pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: After doing some research on the death toll, I've discovered recent reports that run from 53 http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-10/23/content_10240687.htm to "over 60" http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jAnViJd9Qt-eXWbG5LdsFSCRK7hg

Since there is no single figure, the question cannot be settled.

Suspend date: Mon 20th Oct 10:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (58)

58 predictions

4 weeks ago
robamichael predicted 0-60 (H$436 at 94%)
4 weeks ago
bency predicted 0-60 (H$100 at 94%)
4 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted 0-60 (H$100 at 76%)
4 weeks ago
opie predicted 0-60 (H$50 at 75%)
4 weeks ago
kirin predicted 0-60 (H$500 at 74%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 aedan
I find these "how many will die in a bombing" type questions distasteful.
posted 8 weeks ago
  2 dragon01
As of Sunday 21st, BBC is still reporting death toll at 54. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7627755.stm
posted 8 weeks ago
  3 s99nj
Late reports show as many as 62
posted 4 weeks ago
  4 nuese
DISGUSTING QUESTION!!!!!!!!!!.....Don't you think?
posted 4 weeks ago
  5 gingerboi
Good question Skipper! Keep your eye on the ball, and don't let the bastards drag you down. Just the facts, ma'am.
posted 4 weeks ago

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