Created Sun 21st Sep 2008 10:42am PST by 
theonecalledmichael
theonecalledmichael 
Who will be the first Supreme Court Justice replaced?
Settled as David Souter
Souter is still only justice known to be retiring, thus he'll be the first replaced
Background:
Background: Clarification: After discussions with admins and supers we've come to the decision to let the market run it's course until the end of term. If at the end of term it's still only Souter leaving the market will settle as solely Souter
Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said Friday that there will "soon" be an opening on the high court, prompting widespread speculation over whether the justice has plans to resign.
Ginsburg made the comment Friday in Boston in her first public appearance since undergoing cancer surgery last month.
A student at the New England Law School asked Ginsburg to explain how the Court's dynamic changes when a new justice arrives. Ginsburg — who turned 76 on Sunday — said the Court only takes a group picture when a new justice arrives, adding, "we haven't had any photos for some time. But surely we will soon."
Ginsburg's comments were first reported by the Associated Press and then posted to numerous legal blogs.
Ginsburg's recent health problems would certainly give her reason to retire. But in a newspaper interview last week, she reiterated her desire to remain on the Court for several more years. Ginsburg's provided no further explanation Friday about her comment.
John Paul Stevens and David Souter are two other justices rumored to step down. Stevens will turn 89 next month, but has shown little sign of slowing down. Earlier this month, Stevens intently questioned a lawyer in a high-profile judicial recusal case. And the justuce remains a powerful force behind the scenes — having already authored several significant opinions.
Souter, 69, is well known for the fondness he has of his New Hampshire home, where he spends his summers. The justice described the annual return to the Court's business in the fall as "sort of annual intellectual lobotomy." Souter's appearance last week at a humanities conference in Washington, D.C., was itself noteworthy for the dearth of public appearances he has made in his nearly two decades on the bench.
On Friday, Ginsburg called Souter a "slave to duty," but said she was able to coax him into joining her for an evening of opera at the Kennedy Center in Washington. Ginsburg said his attendance was a demonstration of support in the aftermath her cancer surgery.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Justices_of_the_Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States
Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said Friday that there will "soon" be an opening on the high court, prompting widespread speculation over whether the justice has plans to resign.
Ginsburg made the comment Friday in Boston in her first public appearance since undergoing cancer surgery last month.
A student at the New England Law School asked Ginsburg to explain how the Court's dynamic changes when a new justice arrives. Ginsburg — who turned 76 on Sunday — said the Court only takes a group picture when a new justice arrives, adding, "we haven't had any photos for some time. But surely we will soon."
Ginsburg's comments were first reported by the Associated Press and then posted to numerous legal blogs.
Ginsburg's recent health problems would certainly give her reason to retire. But in a newspaper interview last week, she reiterated her desire to remain on the Court for several more years. Ginsburg's provided no further explanation Friday about her comment.
John Paul Stevens and David Souter are two other justices rumored to step down. Stevens will turn 89 next month, but has shown little sign of slowing down. Earlier this month, Stevens intently questioned a lawyer in a high-profile judicial recusal case. And the justuce remains a powerful force behind the scenes — having already authored several significant opinions.
Souter, 69, is well known for the fondness he has of his New Hampshire home, where he spends his summers. The justice described the annual return to the Court's business in the fall as "sort of annual intellectual lobotomy." Souter's appearance last week at a humanities conference in Washington, D.C., was itself noteworthy for the dearth of public appearances he has made in his nearly two decades on the bench.
On Friday, Ginsburg called Souter a "slave to duty," but said she was able to coax him into joining her for an evening of opera at the Kennedy Center in Washington. Ginsburg said his attendance was a demonstration of support in the aftermath her cancer surgery.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Justices_of_the_Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| John Paul Stevens |
| |||
| Antonin Scalia |
| |||
| Anthony Kennedy |
| |||
| David Souter |
| |||
| Clarence Thomas |
| |||
| Ruth Bader Ginsberg |
| |||
| Stephen Bryer |
| |||
| John Roberts |
| |||
| Samuel Alito |
| |||
| None are replaced by settlement date |
|
Settled as David Souter on Thu 9th Jul 10:01am PST
- Activity: H$132,151 |
- Predictions: 239 |
Comments: 17
Suspend date: Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Jul 10:01am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: John Paul Stevens: 22%, Antonin Scalia: 17%, Anthony Kennedy: 17%, David Souter: 15%, Clarence Thomas: 7%, Ruth Bader Ginsberg: 7%, Stephen Bryer: 7%, John Roberts: 3%, Samuel Alito: 3%, None are replaced by settlement date: 2%
Action history:
Created Sun 21st Sep 2008 10:42am PST by theonecalledmichael
theonecalledmichael
Changed Description Sun 15th Mar 9:58am PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
destry: show details ... <br/> <br/> Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said Friday that there will "soon" be an opening on the high court, prompting widespread speculation over whether the justice has plans to resign.<br/> <br/> Ginsburg made the comment Friday in Boston in her first public appearance since undergoing cancer surgery last month.<br/> <br/> A student at the New England Law School asked Ginsburg to explain how the Court's dynamic changes when a new justice arrives. Ginsburg — who turned 76 on Sunday — said the Court only takes a group picture when a new justice arrives, adding, "we haven't had any photos for some time. But surely we will soon."<br/> <br/> Ginsburg's comments were first reported by the Associated Press and then posted to numerous legal blogs.<br/> <br/> Ginsburg's recent health problems would certainly give her reason to retire. But in a newspaper interview last week, she reiterated her desire to remain on the Court for several more years. Ginsburg's provided no further explanation Friday about her comment.<br/> <br/> John Paul Stevens and David Souter are two other justices rumored to step down. Stevens will turn 89 next month, but has shown little sign of slowing down. Earlier this month, Stevens intently questioned a lawyer in a high-profile judicial recusal case. And the justuce remains a powerful force behind the scenes — having already authored several significant opinions.<br/> <br/> Souter, 69, is well known for the fondness he has of his New Hampshire home, where he spends his summers. The justice described the annual return to the Court's business in the fall as "sort of annual intellectual lobotomy." Souter's appearance last week at a humanities conference in Washington, D.C., was itself noteworthy for the dearth of public appearances he has made in his nearly two decades on the bench.<br/> <br/> On Friday, Ginsburg called Souter a "slave to duty," but said she was able to coax him into joining her for an evening of opera at the Kennedy Center in Washington. Ginsburg said his attendance was a demonstration of support in the aftermath her cancer surgery.<br/> <br/> Click here to see video of Ginsburg's remarks.<br/> <br/> <br/> <a href='="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Justices_of_the_Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States'>">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
Changed Description Sun 15th Mar 9:59am PST by destry: show details
destry: show details ... the aftermath her cancer surgery.<br/> <br/> Click here to see video of Ginsburg's remarks.<br/> <br/> <br/> <a href="http://
Settlement requested Thu 30th Apr 6:40pm PST by 
cheesenips
: Settle as Souter http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=103694193
cheesenips: Settle as Souter http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=103694193
Changed Description Thu 30th Apr 7:02pm PST by destry: show details
destry: show details ... <br/> < <br/> Supreme Court Justice Ruth ... justice has plans to resign.<. <br/> <br/> Ginsburg made the ... undergoing cancer surgery last month.<. <br/> <br/> A student at ... . But surely we will soon."<." <br/> <br/> Ginsburg's comments ... posted to numerous legal blogs.<. <br/> <br/> Ginsburg's recent ... explanation Friday about her comment.<. <br/> <br/> John Paul Stevens ... already authored several significant opinions.<. <br/> <br/> Souter, 69, is ... two decades on the bench.<. <br/> <br/> On Friday, Ginsburg ... the aftermath her cancer surgery.<. <br/> <br/> <a href="http://
Settlement requested Fri 1st May 6:55am PST by 
buckeyetom
: souter.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_scotus_souter_retiring
buckeyetom: souter.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_scotus_souter_retiring
Suspended Sat 2nd May 1:06am PST by 
ryanj
: Suspended while market settlement is discussed
ryanj: Suspended while market settlement is discussed
Unsuspended Mon 4th May 5:32am PST by ryanj: After discussions with admins and supers we've come to the decision to let the market run it's course until the end of term. If at the end of term it's still only Souter leaving the market will settle as solely Souter
ryanj: After discussions with admins and supers we've come to the decision to let the market run it's course until the end of term. If at the end of term it's still only Souter leaving the market will settle as solely Souter
Changed Suspend date Mon 4th May 5:34am PST by ryanj: was: "2012-09-21 23:59:00"
ryanj: was: "2012-09-21 23:59:00"
Changed Description Mon 4th May 5:35am PST by ryanj: show details
ryanj: show details ... . <.<br/> <br/> Ginsburg made the ... undergoing cancer surgery last month. <.<br/> <br/> A student at ... . But surely we will soon." <."<br/> <br/> Ginsburg's comments ... posted to numerous legal blogs. <.<br/> <br/> Ginsburg's recent ... explanation Friday about her comment. <.<br/> <br/> John Paul Stevens ... already authored several significant opinions. <.<br/> <br/> Souter, 69, is ... two decades on the bench. <.<br/> <br/> On Friday, Ginsburg ... the aftermath her cancer surgery. <.<br/> <br/> <a href="http://
Suspended Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'David Souter' Thu 9th Jul 10:01am PST by ryanj: Souter is still only justice known to be retiring, thus he'll be the first replaced
ryanj: Souter is still only justice known to be retiring, thus he'll be the first replaced 
Suspend date: Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Jul 10:01am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (239)
arnos
predicted None are replaced by settlement date (H$10 at 1%)
predicted David Souter (H$40 at 97%)
predicted David Souter (H$20 at 98%)Comments (17)
Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service
Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
New York Times 28 weeks ago
of American Legal Quotations, asked constitutional law scholars for memorable quotations from Justice David H. Souter of the Supreme Court. Legal scholars identify Justice David Souter's most notable contribution to the Supreme Court. Justice Souter has
score: 10
New York Times 28 weeks ago
of American Legal Quotations, asked constitutional law scholars for memorable quotations from Justice David H. Souter of the Supreme Court. Legal scholars identify Justice David Souters most notable contribution to the Supreme Court. Justice Souter has
score: 10
New York Times 28 weeks ago
the editor of The Oxford Dictionary of American Legal Quotations, asked constitutional law scholars for memorable quotations from Supreme Court Justice David H. Souter. Mr. Shapiro got only four responses. One was about television coverage of the court
score: 10
New York Times 28 weeks ago
the editor of The Oxford Dictionary of American Legal Quotations, asked constitutional law scholars for memorable quotations from Supreme Court Justice David H. Souter. Mr. Shapiro got only four responses. One was about television coverage of the court
score: 10
UPI 28 weeks ago
President Barack Obama meets Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg as he arrives to address a joint session of congress on Capitol Hill in Washington on February 24, 2009. This is the first public appearance
Related Tags
More questions by
Suspend date: Sat 22nd Sep 2012 2:59am CDT (4 years to go)
"None are replaced by settlement date: 2%"
Soooooo.......What is the settlement date?
Is he this good in Court??
http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090222/NEWS01/902230303/1008
April 30, 2009 | NPR
Supreme Court Justice David Souter is set to retire from the Supreme Court when the current term ends, NPR is reporting.
Earlier in the day, the Associated Press had the legal word buzzing with a story that hinted at Souter's retirement due to the fact that he has yet to hire any law clerks compared to the other eight justices who have each hired their four clerks. Why does this matter? Under the scenario that counts, Souter, 69, would not be hiring clerks because he isn't planning to be in Washington in the fall. A retirement would give President Barack Obama his first chance to nominate a justice and the next few months would bring Senate confirmation hearings.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/30/justice-souter-to-retire_n_194243.html
http://news.google.com/news?pz=1&ned=us&ncl=1344009572&topic=h
Thus, I think this one will likely wait to settle until a justice is actually replaced and not merely settle on the announcement of Souter's intended retirement, esp with Ginsberg's much publicized cancer...
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/may/01/supreme-court-justice-david-souter-retires
flags are private at least it says so
There has been no change in the Supreme Court, yet.
U.S. troops are in Iraqi cites.
Guess which market is settled?
Please log in or join to add a comment