Created Sun 21st Sep 11:42am PDT by 
theonecalledmichael
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » theonecalledmichael 
Who will be the first Supreme Court Justice replaced?
Current forecast: John Paul Stevens (59% chance
3%)
3%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is John Paul Stevens with a probability of 59% (down 3% in last 1 day)
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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John Paul Stevens |
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Antonin Scalia |
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Anthony Kennedy |
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David Souter |
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Clarence Thomas |
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Ruth Bader Ginsberg |
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Stephen Bryer |
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John Roberts |
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Samuel Alito |
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None are replaced by settlement date |
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Activity: H$15,047
Question suspends in 3 years
Suspend date: Sat 22nd Sep 2012 12:59am PDT (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: John Paul Stevens: 22%, Antonin Scalia: 17%, Anthony Kennedy: 17%, David Souter: 15%, Clarence Thomas: 7%, Ruth Bader Ginsberg: 7%, Stephen Bryer: 7%, John Roberts: 3%, Samuel Alito: 3%, None are replaced by settlement date: 2%
Action history:
Created Sun 21st Sep 11:42am PDT by theonecalledmichael
theonecalledmichael
Suspend date: Sat 22nd Sep 2012 12:59am PDT (3 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (32)
32 predictions
cortney
deelilley
sdchargers![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Ruth Bader Ginsberg (H$100 at 16%)
bout3fitty
onedaveComments (3)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Boston Globe 11 hours ago
PROVIDENCE, R.I.U.S. Supreme Court Justice David Souter is expected to attend the centennial celebration of Providence's federal courthouse. The gala begins early Thursday afternoon in the five-story granite building, which was built
score: 10
UPI 3 days ago
Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens People who read this also read ... GAINESVILLE, Fla., Nov. 18 (UPI) -- U.S. Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens, at 88, isn't showing
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 3 days ago
U.S. Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia is escorted through the Jackson International Airport by U.S. Marshalls and an Airport Police Officer, April 3, 1997. Scalia bagged a 20-pound turkey while hunting
score: 10
Philadelphia Inquirer 5 days ago
here next week. Inquirer Staff Writer Philadelphia's judiciary will have royalty on the bench next week. Retired Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O'Connor, 78, the first woman named to the high court and its only living former justice, will serve as a
score: 10
New York Times 6 days ago
it are subject to regulation under campaign finance law. The other case will determine whether a West Virginia Supreme Court justice must disqualify himself from a case involving a mining executive who spent more than $3 million to support the justices
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theonecalledmichael
66% of previous questions settled successfully
35 settled, 18 voided
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35 settled, 18 voided
Suspend date: Sat 22nd Sep 2012 2:59am CDT (4 years to go)
"None are replaced by settlement date: 2%"
Soooooo.......What is the settlement date?
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