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Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
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Will James Randi's One Million Dollar Paranormal Challenge be successfully claimed?

Background: Well-known magician and skeptic James Randi has a long-standing prize of one million US dollars for "anyone who can show, under proper observing conditions, evidence of any paranormal, supernatural, or occult power or event."

This prediction will settle as a "yes" if the prize is successfully claimed. It will settle as a "no" if nobody claims it before the challenge is ceased (currently scheduled for March 6, 2010), or the end of 2010, whichever occurs first.

http://www.randi.org/joom/challenge-info.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Randi_Educational_Foundation#The_One_Million_Dollar_Paranormal_Challenge

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
94%
Question suspends in 40 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 21st Sep 2008 11:28am PST by neuronexmachina

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (213)

11 weeks ago
adsh02138 predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
11 weeks ago
tlwinslow predicted No (H$20 at 94%)
11 weeks ago
wabash predicted No (H$10,000 at 92%)
16 weeks ago
pavitra predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
16 weeks ago
joffi predicted No (H$188 at 90%)

Comments (4)

Such a travesty of justice... those JREF scoundrels owe you $1,000,000!
posted 29 weeks ago
Why was thefinalmessenger's comment deleted?

Note: I can't remember his hubdub user name... thefinalmessenger is his youtube account name.
posted 29 weeks ago
What are proper observed conditions?
posted 11 weeks ago

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