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How many of the 15 cabinet positions in President Obama's cabinet will be held by Democrats?

Current forecast: 13-15 (49% chance6%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 13-15 with a probability of 49% (down 6% in last 1 day)

http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/09/07/mccain-i-will-appoint-democrats-to-my-cabinet/

Category Editor Clarification
This market will settle once the cabinet is announced.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Zero
0%
1-3
0%
4-6
0%
7-9
1%
10-12
44%
13-15
49%
16 or More (New Cabinet Position created)
5%
Activity: H$46,701
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 2009 7:59am PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Zero: 8%, 1-3: 18%, 4-6: 20%, 7-9: 20%, 10-12: 20%, 13-15: 12%, 16 or More (New Cabinet Position created): 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 21st Sep 3:38pm PDT by theonecalledmichael

Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 2009 7:59am PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (130)

130 predictions

1 week ago
newsiebri predicted 10-12 (H$50 at 43%)
1 week ago
mamathang predicted 10-12 (H$100 at 42%)
1 week ago
bmpiety predicted 13-15 (H$50 at 49%)
1 week ago
conspiracy2riot predicted 7-9 (H$10 at 3%)
1 week ago
americube predicted 10-12 (H$50 at 42%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 dieseldog
congrads tocm on becoming SU.
posted 8 weeks ago
Thx!
posted 8 weeks ago
to be fair, the first option should be 0-3 -- as it is, it is a gamble as to whether mccain would take any dems on the cab when he gets in.

though... Lieberman would be a sure bet i think.
posted 6 weeks ago

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