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Will President Obama replace Ben Bernanke as Chairman of the FED, during his first term?

Current forecast: 23% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 23% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chairman_of_the_Federal_Reserve

If Bernanke is replaced prior to the next President being sworn in, VOID.....If Bernanke dies or quits, it settles as yes.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
23%
No
77%
Activity: H$1,470
Question suspends in 4 years

Suspend date: Mon 14th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (4 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Suspend date: Mon 14th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (4 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (15)

15 predictions

6 weeks ago
leucadian predicted Yes (H$10 at 23%)
7 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Yes (H$100 at 23%)
7 weeks ago
deelilley predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)
7 weeks ago
gabrielwest predicted Yes (H$100 at 23%)
8 weeks ago
busterbarretto predicted Yes (H$100 at 23%)
more

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