Will the NTSB conclude the LA Commuter Train Wreck was caused by an Engineer text messaging?

This is a repost of a question that was incorrectly settled, so here is some updated info:

The NTSB announced that the engineer WAS texting during this shift.

It was also found he was working an 11-1/2 hour split shift and didn't brake before colliding with the freight train, killing 25 passengers.

The NTSB has found the signals and tracks were working properly, and has narrowed its investigation to human error.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g-xsvlkTx_cLm6dJHngndxwYFgNAD938SGKG0

Two 14-year-old boys told CBS2-TV that they received a text message from the engineer shortly before the crash.

The Los Angeles station said the teen was among a group of youths who befriended the engineer and asked him questions about his work.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26718585/

MetroLink spokeswoman Denise Tyrrell said before the report aired that she would find it "unbelievable" that an engineer would be text messaging while operating a train.


It will be quite some time before an official NTSB investigation report is released. I would expect to hear something within 12 months so I'm setting the suspend date for one year. If the admins feel it will take longer, please edit it. This market should only settle as yes if it is proven the the crash was either solely or partially related to text messaging.