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Will Sarah Palin run for President in 2016?

Current forecast: 24% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 24% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Regardless of who wins in 2008 or 2012, Palin could theoretically make a bid for President in 2016. Will she?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
24%
No
76%
Activity: H$7,192
Question suspends in 8 years

Suspend date: Fri 30th Dec 2016 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 23rd Sep 11:12am PDT by gabrielwest

Suspend date: Fri 30th Dec 2016 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

2 weeks ago
libertarianelector predicted Yes (H$100 at 24%)
7 weeks ago
zeal007c predicted Yes (H$100 at 24%)
8 weeks ago
fdeblauwe predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
8 weeks ago
lesley[Admin] predicted No (H$20 at 77%)
8 weeks ago
joelfirenze predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 randburg
How to keep a question on hubdub forever...
posted 8 weeks ago
  2 gadget666
will hubdub even exist in 2016? 8 years is a long time for an internet company...
posted 8 weeks ago
Why not do a better question and ask for 2008? Or even better, wait to see if shes even running then make this question then!
posted 8 weeks ago
LOL. U GUYS ARE SO SILLLY! the one about deaths due to terror takes 4 years. and this takes 8? LOL. thats a really nice long term investment u have there:P
posted 8 weeks ago
at least some ppl know for sure they will live the next 8 years for sure;)
posted 8 weeks ago
  6 curios
its a good thing no one knows when they will die, some very young person has juat past away as we speake
posted 8 weeks ago

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