Created Wed 24th Sep 2:11am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
All questions » World » Asia » ryanj 
How long will Taro Aso last as Prime Minister of Japan?
Current forecast: 6 Months To A Year (33% chance
)
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 6 Months To A Year with a probability of 33% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Taro Aso has just been selected and confirmed as the next Prime Minister of Japan. Aso is a politician and former foreign minister, who was voted into office after the lower house of the Japanese parliament overruled the upper house's choice. Aso is part of the Liberal Democratic party.
The previous Prime Minster only lasted a less than a year. Yasuo Fukuda decided to resign this week due to his extremely low approval ratings. So now Taro has the chance to make everything better, but currently he's got a big job ahead of him, fixing and reinvigorating the dismal Japanese economy won't be easy. Probably because he inherits an economy that is sagging in good due part to other countries economic malpractices (They know who they are!).
Not to mention the fact that the Liberal Democratic party plans to call a snap election in months time. Since Japans new lease on life in the 1950's the Liberal Democratic party has maintained control through extremely turbulent times, but the credit crunch now hitting the world financial markets has given the opposition an opportunity to finally gain control in Japan.
So will the credit crunch claim another victim in Mr. Taro Aso?
The previous Prime Minster only lasted a less than a year. Yasuo Fukuda decided to resign this week due to his extremely low approval ratings. So now Taro has the chance to make everything better, but currently he's got a big job ahead of him, fixing and reinvigorating the dismal Japanese economy won't be easy. Probably because he inherits an economy that is sagging in good due part to other countries economic malpractices (They know who they are!).
Not to mention the fact that the Liberal Democratic party plans to call a snap election in months time. Since Japans new lease on life in the 1950's the Liberal Democratic party has maintained control through extremely turbulent times, but the credit crunch now hitting the world financial markets has given the opposition an opportunity to finally gain control in Japan.
So will the credit crunch claim another victim in Mr. Taro Aso?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. More than 1 year only means more than 1 year and less than 2. More than 2 years is the option used for settlement if Aso is still PM in two years
Make your prediction!
|
|
Less Than 6 Months |
|
|||
|
|
6 Months To A Year |
|
|||
|
|
More Than 1 Year |
|
|||
|
|
More Than 2 Years |
|
Activity: H$1,837
Question suspends in 43 weeks
Suspend date: Fri 25th Sep 2009 12:59am PDT (43 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Less Than 6 Months: 20%, 6 Months To A Year: 40%, More Than 1 Year: 25%, More Than 2 Years: 15%
Action history:
Created Wed 24th Sep 2:11am PDT by ryanj
ryanj
Suspend date: Fri 25th Sep 2009 12:59am PDT (43 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (27)
27 predictions
hina
deelilley
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Less Than 6 Months (H$20 at 20%)
infernalmachine
monkey_man_444
jamalpeter
jarrod
bout3fittyComments (0)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
The Times 1 day ago
Japans most celebrated cartoon animator today condemned his countrys comic book-loving Prime Minister, Taro Aso, as an embarrassment who should keep his reading habits to himself. The extraordinary outburst by Hayao Miyazaki the normally tacit,
score: 10
The Times 1 day ago
Japans most celebrated cartoon animator today condemned his countrys comic book-loving Prime Minister, Taro Aso, as an embarrassment who should keep his reading habits to himself. The extraordinary outburst by Hayao Miyazaki the normally tacit,
score: 10
The News International 3 weeks ago
TOKYO: Japan's Prime Minister Taro Aso unveiled on Thursday a nearly $300 billion package for Asia's largest economy to weather the global economic crisis, signalling he would hold off on
score: 10
Japan Times 4 weeks ago
extend by one year the Maritime Self-Defense Force's refueling mission in the Indian Ocean a sign of Japan's commitment to international efforts to contain terrorism. The opposition-controlled Upper House will vote down the bill. But the Lower House is
score: 10
Japan Times 4 weeks ago
extend by one year the Maritime Self-Defense Force's refueling mission in the Indian Ocean a sign of Japan's commitment to international efforts to contain terrorism. The opposition-controlled Upper House will vote down the bill. But the Lower House is
Related tags
More questions by
ryanj
75% of previous questions settled successfully
151 settled, 50 voided
151 settled, 50 voided
Of 86 defendants charged with trying to overthrow Turkey's government how many will be found guilty?
More...
No comments yet
Please log in or join to add a comment