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Who will the FBI bring charges against first? Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman or AIG?

Settled as none

No charges have been brought by the FBI as of 1/1/09

Background:

Question created by
Background: The FBI is investigating Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and American International Group, expanding its probe of potential corporate fraud, law enforcement officials said on Wednesday.

They said the probe of the four high-profile companies at the center of the current financial crisis that has triggered the Bush administration's proposed $700 billion bailout was in the preliminary stage and no criminal charges were imminent.

Who will be formally charged first in the FBI's investigation?

If there are no charges against the four named choices by 1/1/09, it settles in favor of "none."

Settlement details:As reported by Reuters.

 
Forecast history %
Fannie Mae
2%
Freddie Mac
2%
Lehman Brothers
4%
AIG
4%
none
89%
Settled as none on Thu 8th Jan 2009 3:37am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 8th Jan 2009 3:37am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Fannie Mae: 20%, Freddie Mac: 20%, Lehman Brothers: 20%, AIG: 20%, none: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 24th Sep 2008 8:19am PST by reuters
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 7th Jan 2009 2pm PST by destry[Admin]: No charges please settle as NONE
Settled as 'none' Thu 8th Jan 2009 3:37am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: No charges have been brought by the FBI as of 1/1/09

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 8th Jan 2009 3:37am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (50)

1 year ago
destry[Admin] predicted none (H$5,000 at 81%)
1 year ago
bobdevine predicted none (H$1,039 at 68%)
1 year ago
bobdevine predicted none (H$2,222 at 61%)
1 year ago
opie predicted none (H$100 at 52%)
1 year ago
bobdevine predicted none (H$444 at 49%)

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