Created Wed 24th Sep 12:01pm PDT by 
neuronexmachina
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » neuronexmachina 
If McCain is elected, what will his approval rating be after his first 100 days in office?
Voided
Market voided.
Background:
Historically, a President's first 100 days in office is used as a milestone to gauge their initial performance. This question will be settled based on the first Gallup presidential job approval poll to be released after the 100 day mark (April 30, 2009).
http://pollingreport.com/wh.htm (see "Job ratings")
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/white_house/jan-june01/100days_4-30.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Presidential_approval_rating
This market will be voided (money returned to bidder) if John McCain is not elected in 2008. The question will also be voided if McCain resigns or is otherwise incapacitated.
A corresponding prediction has also been created for Barack Obama.
http://pollingreport.com/wh.htm (see "Job ratings")
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/white_house/jan-june01/100days_4-30.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Presidential_approval_rating
This market will be voided (money returned to bidder) if John McCain is not elected in 2008. The question will also be voided if McCain resigns or is otherwise incapacitated.
A corresponding prediction has also been created for Barack Obama.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Voided
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0-19% |
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20-29% |
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30-39% |
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40-49% |
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50-59% |
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60-69% |
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70-79% |
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80-100% |
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Voided Tue 4th Nov 11:07pm PST
Suspend date: Fri 1st May 2009 12:59am PDT (22 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 0-19%: 2%, 20-29%: 3%, 30-39%: 10%, 40-49%: 35%, 50-59%: 35%, 60-69%: 10%, 70-79%: 3%, 80-100%: 2%
Action history:
Created Wed 24th Sep 12:01pm PDT by neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina
Voided Tue 4th Nov 11:07pm PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Market voided.
destry: Market voided.
Suspend date: Fri 1st May 2009 12:59am PDT (22 weeks to go)
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