Created Thu 25th Sep 1:18am PDT by 
erri_six
All questions » General » Tragedy » erri_six 
Will a terror attack be undertaken against the U.S. by the date of the 2009 inauguration
Current forecast: 28% chance 
4%
4%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 28% likely to happen (down 4% in last 1 day)
Will there be an October, November, December or January "surprise"?
Will terrorists attempt to intimidate the new U.S. administration?
This market includes any attack on the U.S. Homeland or U.S. embassies overseas. An attack such as car bomb etc... which causes no fatalities would still count
Will terrorists attempt to intimidate the new U.S. administration?
This market includes any attack on the U.S. Homeland or U.S. embassies overseas. An attack such as car bomb etc... which causes no fatalities would still count
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$50,988
Question suspends in 8 weeks
Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 2009 9pm PST (8 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Thu 25th Sep 1:18am PDT by erri_six
erri_six
Changed Description Sun 28th Sep 10:04am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
ryanj: show details ... January
... "surprise"?
<br/>"surprise"?<br/>
<br/>
Will
terrorists
... atttemptattempt
to
intimidate
the
new
U.S.
... administration?administration?<br/>
<br/>
... <br/>
IncludesThis
market
includes
any
attack
on
the
U.S.
Homeland
or
U.S.
... embassy
overseas...embassies
overseas.
Suspended Sun 28th Sep 10:08am PDT by ryanj: Market suspended to make sure that an attack resulting no fatalities would count.
ryanj: Market suspended to make sure that an attack resulting no fatalities would count.
Unsuspended Fri 3rd Oct 3:41pm PDT by ryanj: An attack such as car bomb etc... which causes no fatalities would still count
ryanj: An attack such as car bomb etc... which causes no fatalities would still count
Changed Description Fri 3rd Oct 3:42pm PDT by ryanj: show details
ryanj: show details ... , November, December or January "surprise"?<"? <br/> <br/> Will terrorists attempt ... the new U.S. administration?<? <br/> <br/> This market includes ... or U.S. embassies overseas.. An attack such as car bomb etc... which causes no fatalities would still count
Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 2009 9pm PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (40)
40 predictions
steve2007
cookietime
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$4,444 at 65%)
neuronexmachina
jolleyjoetolley
pwarren78
swilsonComments (3)
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score: 10
Forbes.com 17 hours ago
reality of such asymmetric warfare required us to dramatically reconsider how we should confront the threat of international terrorism. When the terrorists attacked the World Trade Center in 1993, when Al Qaeda attacked the U.S.S. Cole in Yemen and our
score: 10
MarketWatch 17 hours ago
reality of such asymmetric warfare required us to dramatically reconsider how we should confront the threat of international terrorism. When the terrorists attacked the World Trade Center in 1993, when Al Qaeda attacked the U.S.S. Cole in Yemen and our
score: 10
Reuters 17 hours ago
reality of such asymmetric warfare required us to dramatically reconsider how we should confront the threat of international terrorism. When the terrorists attacked the World Trade Center in 1993, when Al Qaeda attacked the U.S.S. Cole in Yemen and our
score: 10
Indian Express 3 days ago
PrintEmail Feedback Discuss Rahul Gandhi has said that the UPA Govt is not only fighting terrorism but also winning on the front. Related Stories: Mayawati Govt vindictive, says Rahul GandhiMaya vs Rahul: No auditorium, Rahul meets students in cafe
score: 10
Indian Express 4 days ago
is a new term coined by the Congress. What is Hindu terror? We never used terms like Sikh terrorism or Muslim terrorism.? ?Terrorism is a crime against humanity and the nation. The Congress is indulging in vote bank politics. During the period of
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2008/09/18/US_student_killed_in_embassy_attack/UPI-57951221782140/
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