
How many seats will the Liberals win in the 2008 Canadian election?
76 seats won
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election-2008
Background:>
Poll tracking
An example of polling results as of the day of the question's posting:
CPC: 40%
LPC: 25%
NDP: 19%
BQ: 9%
GPC: 8%
Will the Liberals be able to shore up support? Will there be a 1984- (or 1993-!) style meltdown? Or will there be a miracle?
The Liberals won 103 seats in the last election, but at the dissolution of Parliament, they held only 95.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| 100 + |
| |||
| 90-99 |
| |||
| 80-89 |
| |||
| 70-79 |
| |||
| 60-69 |
| |||
| 50-59 |
| |||
| 40-49 |
| |||
| Less than 40 |
|
- Activity: H$11,454 |
- Predictions: 84 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 2008 8:52am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 100 +: 5%, 90-99: 15%, 80-89: 15%, 70-79: 15%, 60-69: 15%, 50-59: 15%, 40-49: 15%, Less than 40: 5%
Action history:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election-2008
Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 2008 8:52am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (84)
Comments (0)
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