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Who will be named the International Rugby Board player of the year?

Current forecast: WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) (59% chance2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) with a probability of 59% (down 2% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL)
59%
CARTER, Daniel (NZL)
22%
JONES, Ryan (WAL)
11%
PARISSE, Sergio (ITA)
5%
BLAIR, Mike (SCO)
3%
Activity: H$3,487
Question suspends in 1 day

Suspend date: this Sunday 4am PST (1 day to go)

Initial likelihoods: WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) : 51%, CARTER, Daniel (NZL) : 25%, JONES, Ryan (WAL) : 14%, PARISSE, Sergio (ITA) : 6%, BLAIR, Mike (SCO) : 4%

Action history:

Created Sat 27th Sep 5:30am PDT by pitchedoutsideleg

Suspend date: this Sunday 4am PST (1 day to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

5 hours ago
sir_nerdlington predicted WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) (H$50 at 59%)
7 hours ago
sir_nerdlington predicted WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) (H$50 at 58%)
4 weeks ago
smoking_kills[Admin] predicted WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) (H$300 at 60%)
4 weeks ago
robuk[Admin] predicted WILLIAMS, Shane (WAL) (H$350 at 58%)
4 weeks ago
zeebac predicted CARTER, Daniel (NZL) (H$50 at 24%)
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