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Will the Spore anti-DRM lawsuit against EA proceed to trial and receive a verdict on the merits?

Current forecast: 10% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 10% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

EA has been sued over the DRM (especially Securom) in Spore. Will the suit proceed to trial and be resolved on the merits with a verdict? Please note that this is a legal question. For the answer to be yes, the suit must not settle, it must proceed to trial, it must not be dismissed by any pre-trial litigation, and it must be decided on the merits. Therefore, settlement, a motion to dismiss, or a motion for summary judgment, will result in a "No" answer. Only a verdict from the jury, or a successful motion for a directed verdict will result in a "Yes" answer.

Please note that any post-trial motions, such as judgment not withstanding the verdict, or motions for new trial, will not affect the question. Also, whether the decision is favorable to a party or not will not affect the question (i.e., doesn't matter who wins).

Remember contestants, that most lawsuits settle, or are dismissed, or are decided as a matter of law (not on the merits) under summary judgment. It's actually rare that a case is decided on the merits. Keep that in mind when placing your bets.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source if the disposition of the case is clearly stated (i.e. how the case was resolved); or as reported by GamePolitics.com or GamesLaw.net, or as reported by a searchable order of the court in either PACER, Westlaw, or Lexisnexis.

 
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Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$20
Question suspends in 44 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 27th Sep 2009 12:59pm PDT (44 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Suspend date: Sun 27th Sep 2009 12:59pm PDT (44 weeks to go)
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Predictions (1)

1 prediction

6 weeks ago
somemanonline predicted No (H$20 at 90%)

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