
Which Presidential/VP debate will have the most television viewers?
This question will be settled based on the Nielsen ratings, plus the estimated viewer counts from PBS and CSPAN if they are made available for all 4 debates.
The question also allows for the possibility of additional debate(s) not currently planned at the time of question creation.
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2008/08/22/debate_schedule_is_set/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_debates
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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First Presidential debate (foreign policy) |
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Vice Presidential debate |
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Second Presidential debate (town hall format) |
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Third Presidential debate (domestic policy) |
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Another Presidential/VP debate |
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Suspend date: Thu 16th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 18th Oct 4:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 16th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: First Presidential debate (foreign policy): 20%, Vice Presidential debate: 35%, Second Presidential debate (town hall format): 20%, Third Presidential debate (domestic policy): 20%, Another Presidential/VP debate: 5%
Action history:
Please settle as VP debate. VP debate was the most watched TV debate in 16 years!
Suspend date: Thu 16th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 18th Oct 4:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 16th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (213)
213 predictions
Comments (3)
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10 settled, 5 voided




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First presidential debate: foreign policy and national security, moderated by Jim Lehrer
Friday, September 26, University of Mississippi, Oxford, Miss.
-Two-minute answers, followed by five-minute discussion for each question.
Vice presidential debate: all topics, moderated by Gwen Ifill
Thursday, October 2, Washington University in St. Louis, Mo.
-Ninety-second answers, followed by two-minute discussion for each question. Two-minute closing statements.
Second presidential debate: all topics in town meeting format, moderated by Tom Brokaw
Tuesday, October 7, Belmont University, Nashville, TN
-Two-minute answers, followed by one-minute discussion for each question.
Third presidential debate: the economy and domestic policy, moderated by Bob Schieffer
Wednesday, October 15, Hofstra University, Hempstead, N.Y.
-Two-minute answers, followed by five-minute discussion for each question. Two-minute closing statements.
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