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Created Sat 27th Sep 2008 11:14pm PST by ratel

Will it be revealed before election day that John McCain suffered a stroke during the campaign.

Settled as No

No reports.

Background:

Background: Some rumours have been flying this week that a sleepy looking right eye on McCain looked like an indicator of a stroke. Maybe all that 'suspending the campaign' was just to buy him some time to see a doctor on the side. Maybe its all a lot of hubdub! Hubdubbers decide! Has McCain had a stroke at some point during the campaign and have they hidden it? If we don't find out by the election then we'll say 'no'. Probably not, so lets set the initial yes at 15%. He is 71 years old you know, even a minor stroke would count.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
4%
No
96%
Settled as No on Tue 4th Nov 2008 7:17am PST

Suspend date: Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 7:17am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Sat 27th Sep 2008 11:14pm PST by ratel
Suspended Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 4th Nov 2008 3:03am PST by orlin: No such reports.
Settled as 'No' Tue 4th Nov 2008 7:17am PST by destry[Admin]: No reports.

Suspend date: Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 7:17am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (25)

1 year ago
bastad predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
1 year ago
chassoho predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
1 year ago
bkelly1 predicted No (H$50 at 96%)
1 year ago
bkelly1 predicted No (H$50 at 96%)
1 year ago
dragon01 predicted Yes (H$20 at 4%)

Comments (2)

  1 notablenotices[Power User]
Not too likely, I would say :-)

However, if he were to have one, it would be best that it be before we get government health care!
posted 1 year ago
  2 lcsnor
For McCain maybe but there's plenty others who've had strokes during this campaign who could really use it.
posted 1 year ago

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