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Will Lindsay Lohan and Samantha Ronson be parents before 2010?

Current forecast: 32% chance 3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 32% likely to happen (down 3% in last 1 day)

Lindsay and Samantha sitting in a tree.. K-I-S-S-I-N-G.. first comes love, then comes marriage, next comes a baby in the baby carriage!

Ok, so the order doesn't always work that these days.. but you got to wonder where this story is going... Samantha suggests that a marriage may be imminent, and we all know that babies are in this year. Adding fuel to the gossip mill, Lindsay has been filming a movie titled "Labor Pains".. as if they needed to be reminded to think about baby rumors!

Settles as yes if either Lindsay or Samantha announce their pregnancy or if they adopt prior to 2010. Can settle prematurely if they breakup.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source and confirmed by one of the girls or an official representative. (Can't settle on baby bump speculation) For the purposes of this market, life begins at conception so a pregnancy in 2009 will settle as yes even if the baby isn't born until 2010.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
32%
No
68%
Activity: H$7,269
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Mon 14th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 28th Sep 5:55pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Changed Question text Sun 28th Sep 6:14pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: ... be parents ... bybefore 2010?

Suspend date: Mon 14th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

3 weeks ago
corbelle predicted No (H$20 at 68%)
5 weeks ago
avernon predicted Yes (H$100 at 32%)
6 weeks ago
camicalm predicted No (H$100 at 68%)
7 weeks ago
matthelm predicted No (H$250 at 68%)
7 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$20 at 68%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 tisha[Admin]
what a strange child it would look like!!
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 ryanb37
for this to settle yes they would have to be married and both would have to be on the
adoption papers ( i dont think that happens often just one of the same sex couple
is listed as primary parent) and if one of them gets pregnant then the other would
have to file for adoption of the child to "be a parent" so I think the odds probably
should have started at about 10% yes. This will almost not happen. If the Question
said Will Lindsay or Samantha have a child. my guess is it will be lindsay she is the
woman in that relationship.
posted 7 weeks ago
@ryan - No, they do not have to be married, and they do not have to both be on the legal adoption papers. If either is pregnant or either adopts while they are still "together" it will settle as yes.
posted 7 weeks ago
Does the baby have to be born by 2010? Or just be pregnent
posted 7 weeks ago
@dragon - check the settlement details
posted 7 weeks ago

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