Created Tue 30th Sep 2008 5:44am PST by 
theindependent
theindependent 
Will Obama's lead in the polls increase over the next week?
Question created by
Background: The Republican nominee John McCain's campaign is in peril following his extraordinary gamble last week to suspend his campaign to thrust himself into the delicate negotiations about the financial crisis.
Republicans in the House ignored him during talks about the bailout, just as they ignored George Bush's appeal to pass the legislation, and Obama is reported to have gained an 8-point lead in electoral polls.
www.independent.co.uk
Category Editor Clarification
This market will settle based on the results of next Mondays Gallup Daily Tracking number. This market will suspend the night before the poll is released. If the result is still an 8 pt lead, this will be settled as a NO since the lead did not increase.
Republicans in the House ignored him during talks about the bailout, just as they ignored George Bush's appeal to pass the legislation, and Obama is reported to have gained an 8-point lead in electoral polls.
www.independent.co.uk
Category Editor Clarification
This market will settle based on the results of next Mondays Gallup Daily Tracking number. This market will suspend the night before the poll is released. If the result is still an 8 pt lead, this will be settled as a NO since the lead did not increase.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as No on Mon 6th Oct 2008 10:27am PST
- Activity: H$127,909 |
- Predictions: 297 |
Comments: 12
Suspend date: Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 6th Oct 2008 10:27am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Tue 30th Sep 2008 5:44am PST by theindependent
theindependent
Changed Description Tue 30th Sep 2008 9:02am PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
destry: show details ... is
reported
to
have
gained
an
<b>8-point
lead</b>
in
electoral
... polls.
<br/>polls.<br/>
<br/>
<b><a
... href='http://www.independent.co.uk'>www.independent.co.uk</a></b>href="http://www.independent.co.uk">www.independent.co.uk</a></b><br/>
<br/>
<b>Category
Editor
Clarification</b><br/>
This
market
will
settle
based
on
the
results
of
next
Mondays
Gallup
Daily
Tracking
number.
This
market
will
suspend
the
night
before
the
poll
is
released.
Changed Description Tue 30th Sep 2008 3:19pm PST by destry: show details
destry: show details ... market
will
suspend
the
night
before
the
poll
is
released.
... If
the
result
is
still
an
8
pt
lead,
this
will
be
settled
as
a
NO
since
the
lead
did
not
increase.
Suspended Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 6th Oct 2008 9:59am PST by 
joaoxxx
: 8 pt lead, so i guess that's NO: http://www.gallup.com/poll/110974/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Leads-50-42.aspx
joaoxxx: 8 pt lead, so i guess that's NO: http://www.gallup.com/poll/110974/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Leads-50-42.aspx
Settled as 'No' Mon 6th Oct 2008 10:27am PST by destry: http://www.gallup.com/poll/110974/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Leads-50-42.aspx
destry: http://www.gallup.com/poll/110974/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Leads-50-42.aspx 
Suspend date: Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 6th Oct 2008 10:27am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (297)
ryfly
predicted Yes (H$50 at 34%)
predicted No (H$20 at 66%)
arielg81
predicted Yes (H$100 at 33%)Comments (12)
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