Created Tue 30th Sep 1:19pm PDT by 
matthelm
All questions » World » Middle East » matthelm Will Syria invade Lebanon in 2008?
Current forecast: 10% chance 
3%
3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 10% likely to happen (down 3% in last 1 day)
France has sent diplomatic notes to Damascus, warning Syria not to invade while the Assad regime concentrates some 20,000 troops near the Lebanese border.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=96417
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,581572,00.html [German]
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=96417
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,581572,00.html [German]
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$33,548
Question suspends in 5 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 9:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 33%
Action history:
Created Tue 30th Sep 1:19pm PDT by matthelm
matthelm
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 9:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (43)
43 predictions
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score: 10
Jerusalem Post 2 weeks ago
troops and heavy equipment near its border with eastern Lebanon, Beirut's As-Safir newspaper reported over the weekend. The troop movement is being carried out under the banner of a bid to stop illegal smuggling and cross-border criminal movement, but
score: 10
SINA 3 weeks ago
BEIRUT, Oct. 31 (Xinhua) -- Syria has expanded troops deployment along the borders to reach eastern Lebanon's Bekaa valley region, As-Safier daily reported here Friday. Almost 3,000 troops, equipped with heavy weapons, had been
score: 10
Xinhuanet 3 weeks ago
BEIRUT, Oct. 31 (Xinhua) -- Syria has expanded troops deployment along the borders to reach eastern Lebanon's Bekaa valley region, As-Safier daily reported here Friday. Almost 3,000 troops, equipped with heavy weapons, had been
score: 10
Regina Leader-Post 3 weeks ago
D U.S. military helicopters attacked a farm in eastern Syria near the Iraqi border on Sunday, killing eight civilians, including five members of...
score: 10
International Herald Tribune 3 weeks ago
An American school and cultural center in Syria remains open despite a Syrian government order to shut down.. . The order was made in retaliation ...
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