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How many english articles will Wikipedia have by the end of October?

Settled as 2,605,001 to 2,610,000

2,608,448 articles in English http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page

Background:


Settlement details: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

2,560,000 to 2,570,000
0%
2,570,001 to 2,575,000
0%
2,575,001 to 2,580,000
0%
2,585,001 to 2,590,000
0%
2,590,001 to 2,595,000
0%
2,595,001 to 2,600,000
0%
2,600,001 to 2,605,000
0%
2,605,001 to 2,610,000
98%
2,610,001 to 2,615,000
2%
2,615,001 to 2,620,000
0%
Activity: H$123,774
Settled as 2,605,001 to 2,610,000 on Sat 1st Nov 6:14am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 30th Oct 9:55pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 1st Nov 6:14am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Oct 9:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 2,560,000 to 2,570,000: 10%, 2,570,001 to 2,575,000: 10%, 2,575,001 to 2,580,000: 10%, 2,585,001 to 2,590,000: 10%, 2,590,001 to 2,595,000: 10%, 2,595,001 to 2,600,000: 10%, 2,600,001 to 2,605,000: 10%, 2,605,001 to 2,610,000: 10%, 2,610,001 to 2,615,000: 10%, 2,615,001 to 2,620,000: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 30th Sep 6:26pm PDT by xxxjetxxx
Suspended Thu 30th Oct 9:55pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 31st Oct 4:27pm PDT by arielg81: Settle As "2605001 to 2610000"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics
Settlement requested Fri 31st Oct 4:59pm PDT by bobdevine: The count is just over 2,608,000
Settled as '2,605,001 to 2,610,000' Sat 1st Nov 6:14am PDT by tomg[Admin]: 2,608,448 articles in English http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page

Suspend date: Thu 30th Oct 9:55pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 1st Nov 6:14am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Oct 9:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (206)

206 predictions

3 weeks ago
dragonfangxl predicted 2,610,001 to 2,615,000 (H$20 at 1%)
3 weeks ago
thevoiceoftexas_org predicted 2,610,001 to 2,615,000 (H$50 at 0%)
3 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted 2,605,001 to 2,610,000 (H$9,999 at 99%)
3 weeks ago
filanator predicted 2,605,001 to 2,610,000 (H$41 at 98%)
3 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted 2,605,001 to 2,610,000 (H$5,758 at 96%)
more

Comments (10)

  1 elly
What will happened if they are 2,582,000?
posted 6 weeks ago
good question, elly. i wonder...
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 lrossouw
It is 2 581 000 today so if it had to settle today we'd be in trouble!
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 lrossouw
19-Sep 2,558,437
14-Oct 2,581,870
That is 937 per day over roughly the last month.

Estimate for end of October is:
31-Oct 2,597,804
posted 5 weeks ago
  5 curios
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics. as of today
posted 5 weeks ago
  6 lrossouw
19-Sep 2,558,437
20-Oct 2,591,013
That is 1031 per day so estimate for end October now:
31-Oct 2,601,760
posted 4 weeks ago
  7 arielg81
2,582,702 15/10
2,591,593 20/10
That is 1778 per day ??? :S:S
estimate for end October 2,611,151 ??? HAAAAA!!!
posted 4 weeks ago
  8 lrossouw
Somebody has been busy writing in the last couple of days.... It all depends on whether they continue writing at that rate (1700 per day) or the more general 900-1000 per day
posted 4 weeks ago
  9 pixelpaws
Well, it's at 2,605,821 with 48 hours left in the month. Unless someone starts writing 2,500 articles a day for the next two days, this is pretty much figured out.
posted 3 weeks ago
7 hours to go and we need another 2,030 articles! Grrrr!!!
posted 2 weeks ago

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