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Will NICE be reformed by the end of November?

Current forecast: 12% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 12% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Charities are protesting that the rising tide of protest over the refusal by the NHS to provide expensive drugs for cancer and other conditions is being funded by the pharmaceutical industry. Will this provoke swift reform of the regulatory body, the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (Nice)?

http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-wellbeing/health-news/drug-firms-bankroll-attacks-on-nhs-947316.html


Settlement details: As reported by the Independent..

 
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Yes
12%
No
88%
Activity: H$27,848
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 1st Oct 6:44am PDT by theindependent
Changed Suspend date Wed 1st Oct 8:48am PDT by chris[Admin]: was: "2010-11-30 15:59:00"

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (33)

33 predictions

2 hours ago
garnicholson predicted No (H$100 at 88%)
2 hours ago
georgethe23rd predicted No (H$50 at 88%)
1 day ago
steve2007 predicted No (H$51 at 88%)
2 days ago
jakers predicted No (H$100 at 88%)
2 days ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$3,000 at 87%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 tisha[Admin]
This is a really interesting article - NICA currently value a year of quality of life at £20 - 30,000 per year. It will be interesting to see whether this recalculated figure goes up or down, if at all.

How much would you pay to have good quality of life? I may have misinterpreted this abstract figure wrongly, but if I had cancer and could pay a figure to have perfect health, I'd be willing to pay a lot more than £30 thousand quid a year.
posted 5 weeks ago

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