Created Wed 1st Oct 2008 10:54am PST by

reuters Level 7, Pro (H$3,320)

How many hurricanes will form in the Atlantic and Caribbean in October?

Settled as One

Only Hurricane Omar formed in the Atlantic this October

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2008atlan.shtml
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Omar

Background:

Question created by

Background: Three tropical storms will form in the Atlantic and Caribbean in October, of which two will strengthen into hurricanes, the noted Colorado State University hurricane research team predicted on Oct. 1. http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE4904Z620081001

Settlement details:As reported by www.reuters.com

Forecast history %

None

One

99%

Two

Three

Four

Five

More than five

Settled as One on Tue 4th Nov 2008 3:24pm PST

Activity: H$38,796
Predictions: 70
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 3:24pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: None: 15%, One: 20%, Two: 25%, Three: 20%, Four: 10%, Five: 5%, More than five: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 1st Oct 2008 10:54am PST by

reuters Level 7, Pro (H$3,320)

Suspended Fri 31st Oct 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 2nd Nov 2008 9:11pm PST by

gtown

: One (Omar)

Not sure where on reuters.com this can be found.

Settled as 'One' Tue 4th Nov 2008 3:24pm PST by

tisha

: Only Hurricane Omar formed in the Atlantic this October

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2008atlan.shtml
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Omar

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Predictions (70)

1 year ago

yoshi7865 Level 5, Predictor (H$1,540)

predicted One (H$100 at 99%)

1 year ago

jakethesnake Level 15, Seer (H$278,546)

predicted One (H$300 at 94%)

1 year ago

cleopatra72 Level 2, Novice (H$1,043)

predicted None (H$100 at 1%)

1 year ago

jakethesnake Level 15, Seer (H$278,546)

predicted One (H$5,000 at 93%)

1 year ago

jakethesnake Level 15, Seer (H$278,546)

predicted One (H$3,000 at 86%)

Comments (3)

pixelpaws Level 13, Psychic (H$66,830)

As of October 22, we have one (Omar) and there are no areas currently in the Atlantic basin that show signs of development. Obviously, this could change very quickly, but I don't know if there's anything that would suggest a hurricane could form in the next ten days.

posted 1 year ago

sqlman [Admin]

So...what are we waiting for? October is over--according to my calendar--and "One" is the official NHC answer. C'mon, I need some cash... :)

posted 1 year ago

tisha

I've settled it for you - the way to get it settled more quickly in the future is to send in a settlement request with a link.

posted 1 year ago

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