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Created Wed 1st Oct 11:54am PDT by reuters
All questions » General » Weather » 
Question created by

How many hurricanes will form in the Atlantic and Caribbean in October?

Settled as One

Only Hurricane Omar formed in the Atlantic this October

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2008atlan.shtml
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Omar

Background:

Three tropical storms will form in the Atlantic and Caribbean in October, of which two will strengthen into hurricanes, the noted Colorado State University hurricane research team predicted on Oct. 1. http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE4904Z620081001


Settlement details: As reported by www.reuters.com

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 None
0%
One
99%
Two
0%
Three
0%
Four
0%
Five
0%
More than five
0%
Activity: H$38,796
Settled as One on Tue 4th Nov 3:24pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 3:24pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: None: 15%, One: 20%, Two: 25%, Three: 20%, Four: 10%, Five: 5%, More than five: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 1st Oct 11:54am PDT by reuters
Suspended Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 2nd Nov 9:11pm PST by gtown: One (Omar)

Not sure where on reuters.com this can be found.
Settled as 'One' Tue 4th Nov 3:24pm PST by tisha[Admin]: Only Hurricane Omar formed in the Atlantic this October

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2008atlan.shtml
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Omar

Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 3:24pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (70)

70 predictions

2 weeks ago
yoshi7865 predicted One (H$100 at 99%)
3 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted One (H$300 at 94%)
3 weeks ago
cleopatra72 predicted None (H$100 at 1%)
3 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted One (H$5,000 at 93%)
3 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted One (H$3,000 at 86%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 pixelpaws
As of October 22, we have one (Omar) and there are no areas currently in the Atlantic basin that show signs of development. Obviously, this could change very quickly, but I don't know if there's anything that would suggest a hurricane could form in the next ten days.
posted 4 weeks ago
  2 sqlman
So...what are we waiting for? October is over--according to my calendar--and "One" is the official NHC answer. C'mon, I need some cash... :)
posted 2 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
I've settled it for you - the way to get it settled more quickly in the future is to send in a settlement request with a link.
posted 2 weeks ago

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score: 10
On the right track

Stars and Stripes 3 weeks ago
Research. T-PARC is a project within THORPEX, a long-term research program organized under the World Meteorological Organization?s World Weather Research Program. The field portion of the project, TCS-08, is financially independent of T-PARC, though it

score: 10
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score: 10
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score: 10
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