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Will David Miliband remain in his post as foreign Secretary in the reshuffle?

Question created by
Background: Gordon Brown is thought to be planning a cabinet reshuffle in the week ending October 5th. Will David Miliband (rumoured to be planning a pitch for the top job himself) remain in his post?

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/cabinet-reshuffle-expected-948960.html

Settlement details:As reported by The Independent..

 
Forecast history %
Yes
80%
No
20%
Settled as Yes on Fri 3rd Oct 2008 5:29am PST

Suspend date: Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 3rd Oct 2008 5:29am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 3rd Oct 2008 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Thu 2nd Oct 2008 2:07am PST by theindependent
Changed Question text Thu 2nd Oct 2008 7:14am PST by chris[Admin]: ... Will David MilibdandMiliband remain in his post as
Changed Question text Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:42am PST by ryanj: show details
... in his post as foreign ScretarySecretary in the reshuffle?
Changed Description Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:42am PST by ryanj: show details
... himself) remain in his post?<? <br/> <br/> <a href='http://
Suspended Fri 3rd Oct 2008 4:27am PST by ryanj: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Fri 3rd Oct 2008 4:27am PST by ryanj: Miliband will stay
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article4870991.ece (market suspended)
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 3rd Oct 2008 5:29am PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: he remains in his post. This was first announced around noon BST on Oct 3.
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5gU3Ro4_6GHijuT4zPCdlLe1tdmXw
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/mandelson-in-shock-return-to-government-949979.html

Suspend date: Sun 5th Oct 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 3rd Oct 2008 5:29am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 3rd Oct 2008 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (15)

1 year ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 82%)
1 year ago
php_ini predicted Yes (H$100 at 80%)
1 year ago
richard1 predicted Yes (H$100 at 80%)
1 year ago
hect0r predicted Yes (H$50 at 80%)
1 year ago
alison predicted Yes (H$50 at 78%)

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