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What will be the size of the U.S. television audience for the vice-presidential debate?

Settled as More than 64 million

Question created by
Background: As far as TV ratings go, last week’s presidential debate was a loser, drawing the one of the smaller audiences in modern history. It should be a different story for tonight’s vice-presidential debate. http://blogs.reuters.com/mediafile/2008/10/02/the-tv-ratings-race-for-the-white-house/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Less than 50 million
4%
50-52 million
3%
52-54 million
8%
54-56 million
23%
56-58 million
18%
58-60 million
11%
60-62 million
10%
62-64 million
8%
More than 64 million
16%
Settled as More than 64 million on Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:24pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Oct 2008 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:24pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 2nd Oct 2008 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 50 million: 1%, 50-52 million: 5%, 52-54 million: 15%, 54-56 million: 40%, 56-58 million: 20%, 58-60 million: 10%, 60-62 million: 5%, 62-64 million: 3%, More than 64 million: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 2nd Oct 2008 5:31am PST by reuters
Suspended Thu 2nd Oct 2008 4:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:23pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Wow, nearly 70 million. That's a lot of people!
http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/media_entertainment/699-million-watched-biden-and-palin’s-vp-debate/#more-2043
Settled as 'More than 64 million' Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:24pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Oct 2008 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 3rd Oct 2008 3:24pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 2nd Oct 2008 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (70)

1 year ago
pennyddreadful predicted More than 64 million (H$100 at 15%)
1 year ago
no_brakes predicted Less than 50 million (H$100 at 3%)
1 year ago
hippyboomer predicted 60-62 million (H$130 at 9%)
1 year ago
hippyboomer predicted 62-64 million (H$100 at 7%)
1 year ago
hippyboomer predicted More than 64 million (H$200 at 14%)

Comments (4)

  1 chuck
How long until the ratings come out?
posted 1 year ago
Its usually the next afternoon for the broadcast numbers, but to include the cable networks and PBS will be a few more days.
posted 1 year ago
  3 chuck
Wow, that's quick. Thanks
posted 1 year ago

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