orlin
Who will be the Nobel Prize 2008 laureate in Literature? (Part 1)
French novelist Jean-Marie Gustave Le Clézio was named the winner this morning and cited by the committee as an "author of new departures, poetic adventure and sensual ecstasy, explorer of a humanity beyond and below the reigning civilization." Le Clézio is responsible for more than 40 books, only 12 of which have been translated into English.
http://nymag.com/daily/entertainment/2008/10/jean-marie_gustave_le_clzio_wi.html
Background:
May be questions would be voided. But I'll try anyway; such an opportunity!
Names and odds are based on Ladbrokes: http://www.ladbrokes.com/lbr_portal?action=go_home&LANG=&STYLE=&VIEW=&LAYOUT=&retURL_g=http%5E//www.ladbrokes.com/FFO/v3/financials.html?action=go_cantor_fof
Nevertheless, I think (and history showed) that uncertainty is so great that it would be fair to put odds for the writers low and biggest percentage on the "other" option.
Announcment is on Thursday, October 9, 1:00 p.m. CET (1100 GMT).
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Claudio Magris |
| |||
| Amos Oz |
| |||
| Philip Roth |
| |||
| Haruki Murakami |
| |||
| Yves Bonnefoy |
| |||
| Inger Christensen |
| |||
| Michael Ondaatje |
| |||
| Ismail Kadare |
| |||
| Thomas Transtromer |
| |||
| Other |
|
- Activity: H$8,607 |
- Predictions: 21 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Wed 8th Oct 2008 2:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Oct 2008 1:42pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Oct 2008 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Claudio Magris: 14%, Amos Oz: 10%, Philip Roth: 8%, Haruki Murakami: 6%, Yves Bonnefoy: 6%, Inger Christensen: 5%, Michael Ondaatje: 5%, Ismail Kadare: 4%, Thomas Transtromer: 4%, Other: 38%
Action history:
orlin 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: French novelist Jean-Marie Gustave Le Clézio was named the winner this morning and cited by the committee as an "author of new departures, poetic adventure and sensual ecstasy, explorer of a humanity beyond and below the reigning civilization." Le Clézio is responsible for more than 40 books, only 12 of which have been translated into English.
http://nymag.com/daily/entertainment/2008/10/jean-marie_gustave_le_clzio_wi.html
Suspend date: Wed 8th Oct 2008 2:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Oct 2008 1:42pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Oct 2008 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (21)
predicted Other (H$1,000 at 77%)
predicted Other (H$20 at 63%)
predicted Other (H$20 at 63%)
lamanchica
predicted Haruki Murakami (H$200 at 7%)Comments (3)
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Related Tags
1.Claudio Magris, Italy http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claudio_Magris
2.Amos Oz, Israel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amos_Oz
3.Philip Roth (USA) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philip_Roth
4.Haruki Murakami (Japan) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haruki_Murakami
5.Yves Bonnefoy (France) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yves_Bonnefoy
6.Inger Christensen (Denmark) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inger_Christensen
7.Michael Ondaatje (Canada) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Ondaatje
8.Ismail Kadare (Albania) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ismail_Kadare
9.Thomas Transtromer (Sweden) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Transtromer
Part 3: http://www.hubdub.com/m18149/Who_will_be_the_Nobel_Prize_2008_laureate_in_Literature_Part_3
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