Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will Wachovia or Wells Fargo be hit with a credit rating downgrade?

Current forecast: Only Wells Fargo is downgraded (36% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Only Wells Fargo is downgraded with a probability of 36% (unchanged in last 1 day)

As of October 3, both Wells Fargo and Wachovia are on S&P CreditWatch with "developing implications." This means that they are being considered for a possible upgrade OR downgrade, depending on what develops. Will either of them see a downgrade within the next three months?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Neither company is downgraded
12%
Only Wachovia is downgraded
17%
Only Wells Fargo is downgraded
36%
Both comapnies are downgraded
34%
Activity: H$2,796
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Neither company is downgraded: 5%, Only Wachovia is downgraded: 20%, Only Wells Fargo is downgraded: 40%, Both comapnies are downgraded: 35%

Action history:

Created Fri 3rd Oct 1:29pm PDT by pixelpaws

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

4 weeks ago
obammer predicted Only Wachovia is downgraded (H$20 at 17%)
4 weeks ago
vixen predicted Neither company is downgraded (H$20 at 17%)
4 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Neither company is downgraded (H$500 at 14%)
5 weeks ago
growthy predicted Neither company is downgraded (H$50 at 9%)
5 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Neither company is downgraded (H$150 at 8%)
more

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more