Created Sun 5th Oct 2008 9:47pm PST by 
neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
Who will be President Obama's Secretary of Defense?
Settled as Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense)
Background: This market will suspend/settle based on who Barack Obama selects as his first Secretary of Defense.
Ret. Gen. Wesley Clark: Former Supreme Allied Commander Europe of Nato
Sen. Hillary Clinton: Member of the Senate Armed Services Committee
Richard Danzig: Former Sec. of the Navy (under Bill Clinton)
Robert Gates Current Secretary of Defense
Sen. Chuck Hagel: Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Fomer Sen. Sam Nunn: Former Chairman of the Senate Armed Service Committee
Gen. David Petraeus: Commander of in Iraq during the Surge, now commander of CENTCOM
Ret. Gen. Colin Powell: Former National Security Advisor, former. Chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, former. Sec. of State
Sen. Jack Reed: Member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, voted against Iraq War resolution
Sen. Jim Webb: Former Sec. of the Navy, member of the Senate Armed Services, Foreign Relations and Veterans Affairs Committees
Ret. Gen. Anthony Zinni: Former Commander in Chief of CENTCOM (until 2000)
Note that the National Security Act prohibits some possible choices (Wesley Clark, David Petraeus, Anthony Zinni) as they've been military officers in the past 10 years, although Congress could hypothetically pass a waiver to allow them to be eligible, as was once done in the case of George Marshall in 1950. They're all being grouped together under the choice "A recent military officer requiring congressional waiver"
Some options and text from this page: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/1/41051/20179/636/50686
Useful Link:
New York Times article on Obama's and McCain's possible Cabinet picks
Huff Post news page on Obama's possible cabinet picks
Discussion about related questions here: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Topic/Possible_Secretary_of_Defense_Secretary_of_State_picks_96
Ret. Gen. Wesley Clark: Former Supreme Allied Commander Europe of Nato
Sen. Hillary Clinton: Member of the Senate Armed Services Committee
Richard Danzig: Former Sec. of the Navy (under Bill Clinton)
Robert Gates Current Secretary of Defense
Sen. Chuck Hagel: Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Fomer Sen. Sam Nunn: Former Chairman of the Senate Armed Service Committee
Gen. David Petraeus: Commander of in Iraq during the Surge, now commander of CENTCOM
Ret. Gen. Colin Powell: Former National Security Advisor, former. Chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, former. Sec. of State
Sen. Jack Reed: Member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, voted against Iraq War resolution
Sen. Jim Webb: Former Sec. of the Navy, member of the Senate Armed Services, Foreign Relations and Veterans Affairs Committees
Ret. Gen. Anthony Zinni: Former Commander in Chief of CENTCOM (until 2000)
Note that the National Security Act prohibits some possible choices (Wesley Clark, David Petraeus, Anthony Zinni) as they've been military officers in the past 10 years, although Congress could hypothetically pass a waiver to allow them to be eligible, as was once done in the case of George Marshall in 1950. They're all being grouped together under the choice "A recent military officer requiring congressional waiver"
Some options and text from this page: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/1/41051/20179/636/50686
Useful Link:
New York Times article on Obama's and McCain's possible Cabinet picks
Huff Post news page on Obama's possible cabinet picks
Discussion about related questions here: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Topic/Possible_Secretary_of_Defense_Secretary_of_State_picks_96
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Sen. Hillary Clinton (NY) |
| |||
| Richard Danzig |
| |||
| Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense) |
| |||
| Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-NE) |
| |||
| fmr. Sen. Sam Nunn (GA) |
| |||
| Ret. Gen. Colin Powell |
| |||
| Sen. Jack Reed (RI) |
| |||
| Sen. Jim Webb (VA) |
| |||
| A recent military officer requiring waiver |
| |||
| Someone else (no congressional waiver required) |
|
Settled as Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense) on Mon 1st Dec 2008 11:24am PST
- Activity: H$86,585 |
- Predictions: 355 |
Comments: 15
Suspend date: Mon 5th Jan 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Dec 2008 11:24am PST
Initial likelihoods: Sen. Hillary Clinton (NY): 10%, Richard Danzig : 10%, Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense): 10%, Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-NE): 10%, fmr. Sen. Sam Nunn (GA): 10%, Ret. Gen. Colin Powell: 10%, Sen. Jack Reed (RI): 10%, Sen. Jim Webb (VA): 10%, A recent military officer requiring waiver: 10%, Someone else (no congressional waiver required): 10%
Action history:
Created Sun 5th Oct 2008 9:47pm PST by neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina
Changed Question text Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:46pm PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
destry: show details ... If Barack Obama is elected, whoWho will be hisPresident Obama's Secretary of Defense?
Changed Description Wed 5th Nov 2008 3:46am PST by 
ryanj
: show details
ryanj: show details ... his first Secretary of Defense. Market will be voided if Barack Obama doesn't win the election. <.<br/> <br/> -/> <br/> <b>Ret. Gen. Wesley Clark (AK), former:</b> Former Supreme Allied Commander Europe of Nato <br/> */> <br/> <b>Sen. Hillary Clinton (NY) - member:</b> Member of the Senate Armed Services Committee <br/> */> <br/> <b>Richard Danzig - fmr. :</b> Former Sec. of the Navy (under Bill Clinton) <)<br/> */> <br/> <b>Robert Gates - current</b> Current Secretary of Defense <<br/> */> <br/> <b>Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-NE) - member:</b> Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee <br/> *fmr. /> <br/> <b> Fomer Sen. Sam Nunn (GA) - fmr. :</b> Former Chairman of the Senate Armed Service Committee <br/> -/> <br/> <b>Gen. David Petraeus - commander:</b> Commander of MNF-in Iraq during "the Surge," pending, now commander of CENTCOM <<br/> */> <br/> <b>Ret. Gen. Colin Powell - fmr. :</b> Former National Security Advisor, fmrformer. Chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, fmrformer. Sec. of State <<br/> * /> <br/> <b>Sen. Jack Reed (RI) - member:</b> Member of the Senate Armed Services ... against Iraq War resolution <br/> */> <br/> <b>Sen. Jim Webb (VA) - fmr. :</b> Former Sec. of the Navy, member ... and Veterans Affairs Committees <br/> -/> <br/> <b>Ret. Gen. Anthony Zinni - fmr. :</b> Former Commander in Chief of CENTCOM (until 2000) <)<br/> <br/> Note that the ... military officer requiring congressional waiver" <"<br/> <br/> Some options and ... /41051/20179/636/50686</a> <><br/> <br/> Useful Link:<br/> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/25/us/politics/25transition.html?_r=1&pagewanted=1&oref=slogin">New York Times article on Obama's and McCain's possible Cabinet picks</a><br/> <br/> <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/obama-cabinet">Huff Post news page on Obama's possible cabinet picks</a><br/> Discussion about related questions ... .com/e/Topic/Possible_Secretary_of_Defense_Secretary_of_State_picks_96</a>><br/> <br/> Edited by Ryan J.
Changed Description Wed 5th Nov 2008 6:22pm PST by destry: show details
destry: show details ... Topic/Possible_Secretary_of_Defense_Secretary_of_State_picks_96</a><br/> <br/> Edited by Ryan J.
Settlement requested Tue 25th Nov 2008 1:51pm PST by 
gobbergo
: Robert Gates
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15986.html
gobbergo: Robert Gates
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15986.html
Settlement requested Tue 25th Nov 2008 3:24pm PST by 
coolkraft
: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15986.html
coolkraft: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15986.html
Settlement requested Tue 25th Nov 2008 3:24pm PST by coolkraft: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15986.html
coolkraft: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15986.html 
jenniandboys
Suspend date: Mon 5th Jan 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Dec 2008 11:24am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (355)
51 weeks ago
gabrielwest predicted Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense) (H$200 at 98%)
predicted Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense) (H$500 at 96%)
predicted Robert Gates (current Secretary of Defense) (H$239 at 96%)Comments (15)
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More questions by
Obama will appoint at least a few Republicans to prominent spots in the cabinet, not obscure ones liek transportation secretary.
Personally, I think he should offer it to McCain as a massive outreach to bridge the country. But another republican is just about as good.
However, just because they don't deserve it, doesn't mean its not the most prudent thing to do. I hope a minimum of 3 spots go to Republicans, and definitely the Secretary of Defense.
latest
agreed
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