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Will Reality Star Jade Goody still be alive by August 1st 2009?

Settled as No

Jade Goody died in her sleep this morning with her mother and her husband by her side.

Background:

Background: Goody was tested for ovarian cancer in 2004 and bowel cancer in 2006, but was given the all-clear both times.Jade underwent hospital tests in early August 2008 after her third cancer scare. She had already collapsed four times. The test results confirmed she had cervical cancer; she was told of this on August 19 2008 while in the Indian version of Big Brother, called Bigg Boss.Her spokesperson said, "It looks like her cancer is at an early stage but we will have to wait until she gets back to Britain and sees a specialist and has more tests".On 1 September 2008 it was reported that Goody's cancer was "advanced and life-threatening" and that she would be having an operation followed by chemotherapy.Doctors warned that her survival chance could be as low as 65%.Further tests, and a hysterectomy, "went well" according to her publicist, and Goody is expected to begin a course of chemotherapy and radiotherapy.


Here is Jade's official website.
More info here.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
9%
No
91%
Settled as No on Sun 22nd Mar 3:35am PST

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Mar 3:35am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 5th Oct 2008 11:40pm PST by onthelang
Suspended Mon 16th Mar 4:01am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Her death appears imminent, sadly. Market is suspended pending probable settlement.
Settled as 'No' Sun 22nd Mar 3:35am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Jade Goody died in her sleep this morning with her mother and her husband by her side.

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Mar 3:35am PST details

 

Predictions (340)

35 weeks ago
bohnanza predicted Yes (H$50 at 9%)
36 weeks ago
botch predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
36 weeks ago
micklebring predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
36 weeks ago
marzbarz2628 predicted No (H$200 at 91%)
36 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 88%)

Comments (12)

  1 elburro84
This is a rather insensitive thing to bet on.
posted 41 weeks ago
  2 flexy101
To be fair you did bet on "When will Kim Jong-Il have died?" so you really can't talk!
posted 41 weeks ago
I'd hardly call the worthless bag of flesh and lard a star but still.
posted 41 weeks ago
  4 elburro84
Kim Jong-Il is, however, a ruthless dictator so there is a bit of a difference. But I take your point flexy101!
posted 41 weeks ago
  5 cammaz
This is sad, I think I'm going to bet yes in respect and hope that I'm right. Nobody deserves to die like this.
posted 41 weeks ago
  6 flashbang
onthelang, perhaps we can bet on one of your family getting something similar. Karma.
posted 41 weeks ago
  7 onthelang
Flashbang, Hubdub wouldnt allow it. Big deal everyone dies.
posted 41 weeks ago
  8 kruijs[Power User]
@onthelang
actually it seems that there is no broad consensus about death related markets.
please read this forum thread which discusses the pro/con of these kind of markets
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Topic/Patrick_Swayze_death_market_276
and I invite you explicitly to contribute your thoughts there.
posted 41 weeks ago
  9 kruijs[Power User]
@flexy101
the "When will Kim Jong-Il have died?" refers to allegations and assumptions that Jong-Il actually is dead already but that is passing away is denied for political reasons. In this sense you don't actually make a bet on when someone will die, rather than is there a conspiracy hiding given circumstances.
posted 41 weeks ago
  10 onthelang
I know but who is going to be interested in my uncles cancer?
posted 41 weeks ago
  11 curios
its a death question on a particular person they are supposed to be banned
and welcome back?
posted 36 weeks ago
@curios - This market was created before the rule change last month. We didn't retroactively void markets.
posted 36 weeks ago

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