Created Tue 7th Oct 2008 6:53pm PST by

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

Which party will hold Port Macquarie after the NSW by-elections?

Settled as Independent

Surprise result here. Independent Peter Besseling wins over the National candidate.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/19/2394987.htm?section=australia

Background:

Question created by

Background: Former seat of extremely popular Independent Rob Oakeshott who won the recent federal by-election in the seat of Lyne. The 2PP between Labor and the Nationals (after taking out Oakeshott) at the election was 62.9-37.1 in favour of the Nationals.

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2008/byelections/portmacquarie.htm

Settlement details:As reported by the NSWEC

Forecast history %

Independent

CDP

Greens

Nationals

87%

Settled as Independent on Sat 18th Oct 2008 1:32pm PST

Activity: H$3,058
Predictions: 10
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 2008 9pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 18th Oct 2008 1:32pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 17th Oct 2008 9pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Independent: 8%, CDP: 1%, Greens: 4%, Nationals: 87%

Action history:

Created Tue 7th Oct 2008 6:53pm PST by

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

Changed Description Tue 7th Oct 2008 10:01pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: show details

... in favour of the Nationals~~. <~~.<br/> <br/> <a href="http://

Changed Suspend date Tue 7th Oct 2008 10:04pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: was: "2008-10-20 05:59:00"

Changed Suspend date Tue 7th Oct 2008 10:07pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: was: "2008-10-17 09:59:00"

Suspended Fri 17th Oct 2008 9pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Independent' Sat 18th Oct 2008 1:32pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: Surprise result here. Independent Peter Besseling wins over the National candidate.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/19/2394987.htm?section=australia

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Predictions (10)

1 year ago

christoodrink Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

predicted Nationals (H$100 at 87%)

1 year ago

tisha

predicted Nationals (H$100 at 87%)

1 year ago

dingoh Level 14, Prophet (H$110,216)

predicted Independent (H$50 at 11%)

1 year ago

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

predicted Nationals (H$100 at 81%)

1 year ago

curios predicted Nationals (H$200 at 81%)

Comments (1)

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

Correct Answer: Independent.

posted 1 year ago

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