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Which party will win the Glenrothes by-election on November 6th 2008?

Settled as Scottish Labour Party

This one came down to the wire but the SNP have now conceded defeat:

'Lindsay Roy is the new MP. But Glenrothes is Gordon Brown’s triumph. Two months ago it looked as if this contest could seal the end for Mr Brown. Now it has confirmed a truly remarkable comeback. Labour’s general election majority was halved but, because of the way expectations had developed, this result had all the feeling of a landslide.'

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5103100.ece

Background:

Background: Following the death of the Labour MP for Glenrothes in the summer, a by-election will be held in the seat on November 6th 2008. Labour are defending a 10,000 majority (less than the majority the SNP overturned in Glasgow East).

Check Oddschecker for odds from UK bookmakers and betting exchanges (to convert, select decimal and then divide 1 by the price, e.g. 1 / 2.5 = 20%)

Settlement details:As reported on BBC News, Sky News and BBC Reporting Scotland

 
Forecast history %
Scottish Labour Party
20%
Scottish National Party
79%
Scottish Liberal Democrats
1%
Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party
0%
Scottish Socialist Party
0%
United Kingdom Independence Party
0%
Another party
0%
Settled as Scottish Labour Party on Thu 6th Nov 2008 5:03pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 11pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 6th Nov 2008 5:03pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 5th Nov 2008 11pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Scottish Labour Party: 52%, Scottish National Party: 23%, Scottish Liberal Democrats: 13%, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party: 7%, Scottish Socialist Party: 2%, United Kingdom Independence Party: 1%, Another party: 2%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Oct 2008 1:10am PST by harryhayfield
Suspended Wed 5th Nov 2008 11pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Scottish Labour Party' Thu 6th Nov 2008 5:03pm PST by tisha[Admin]: This one came down to the wire but the SNP have now conceded defeat:

'Lindsay Roy is the new MP. But Glenrothes is Gordon Brown’s triumph. Two months ago it looked as if this contest could seal the end for Mr Brown. Now it has confirmed a truly remarkable comeback. Labour’s general election majority was halved but, because of the way expectations had developed, this result had all the feeling of a landslide.'

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5103100.ece

Suspend date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 11pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 6th Nov 2008 5:03pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 5th Nov 2008 11pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (98)

1 year ago
gouranga predicted Scottish National Party (H$100 at 79%)
1 year ago
gouranga predicted Scottish National Party (H$100 at 78%)
1 year ago
scotty45 predicted Scottish National Party (H$903 at 76%)
1 year ago
robamichael predicted Scottish National Party (H$1,000 at 71%)
1 year ago
monkeynacho predicted Scottish National Party (H$20 at 68%)

Comments (10)

  1 legojedi
@nigeleccles - thats a lot of money on the SNP to win...
posted 1 year ago
Nominations closed at 1500 GMT on October 21st 2008. The candidates duly nominated are:

Morag Balfour (Scottish Socialist Party), Maurice Golden (Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party), Peter Grant (Scottish National {Party), Louise McLeary (Solidarity), Jim Parker (Scottish Senior Citizen's Unity Party), Lindsay Roy (Scottish Labour Party), Kris Seunarine (United Kingdom Independence Party), Harry Willis (Scottish Liberal Democrats)
posted 1 year ago
The problem that Gordon Brown has is that the people of Scotland have had enough of Westminster's lies and deception. For years the SNP have been fighting to promote the injustices inflicted upon the Scottish People by oil profiteering, Westminster Loyal politicians. Instead of helping the Scottish People the Unionist Labour and Conservative and Liberal Democrat politicians have lied and deceived the Scottish People about the Vast Oil Wealth. 32 million a day over a population of 5 million is a lot of money to send to London.

Why not read the TOP SECRET McCRONE OIL REPORT that Westminster does not want you to read. Available at http://www.oilofscotland.org

The McCrone Report was written in 1974 however this report into Scotland Oil Rich Economy is as relevant as it in the 1970's when it was classified top secret. If Scotland's Oil is of no relevance why in 1979 did Labour overturned a democratic decision when 52% of Scots and 43 to 19 Scottish MP's democratically voted for a devolved Scottish Government. Westminster made political history by saying NO twice.

http://www.oilofscotland.org/scottish_politics.html#1979

Or why in 1999 did Tony Blair Secretly MOVE SCOTLAND'S BORDERS

IN 1999 WESTMINSTER MOVED SCOTLANDS MARINE BORDER from Berwick-upon-Tweed to Carnoustie MAKING 6,000 MILES OF SCOTLAND'S SEA ENGLISH.

For the Latest new on the Glenrothes By Election visit http://www.glenrothesbyelection.co.uk


So when you play golf at St Andrews and look out to sea, you are looking at English Waters according to the treacherous Westminster powers that be.

Visit http://www.oilofscotland.org and click on the golfer to see the reason why the Unionst Labour secretly moved Scotland's borders, and read the pdf of the 1999 order to MOVE SCOTLAND'S BORDERS
posted 1 year ago
  5 crowqueen
@truthteller - 6000 miles? That's half-way round the world. Are you sure?
posted 1 year ago
  7 lesley[Admin]
*as the favorite to win this

(blame the election night hangover!)
posted 1 year ago
  8 lesley[Admin]
http://news.scotsman.com/latestnews/SNP-on-a-high-.4660820.jp

SNP think they're definitely going to win it. "SNP campaigners reported a surge in support on the ground, particularly with undecided voters or former Labour supporters switching their backing to the Nationalists in the key seat."
posted 1 year ago
Woo, Go Scottish Labor lol
posted 1 year ago
  10 chris[Admin]
Heh. Quite a big vote against the SNP there. I suppose that's what they get for being whiny and rubbish at governing Scotland. Shame Gordo's turned up to take all the credit like glory-seeking leech that he is.
posted 1 year ago

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