Created Wed 8th Oct 2008 1:30pm PST by 
eliminati
eliminati 
Which video game system will be released in North America first?
Background:
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Nintendo Wii 2 (or next Wii console). |
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| Microsoft Xbox 720 (or next Xbox console). |
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| Sony Playstation 4 (or next Playstation console). |
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| None of these will be released by the end of 2010. |
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Question suspends in 1 year
- Activity: H$15,164 |
- Predictions: 92 |
Comments: 4
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 5pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Nintendo Wii 2 (or next Wii console).: 50%, Microsoft Xbox 720 (or next Xbox console).: 20%, Sony Playstation 4 (or next Playstation console).: 5%, None of these will be released by the end of 2010.: 25%
Action history:
Created Wed 8th Oct 2008 1:31pm PST by eliminati
eliminati 
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 5pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (92)
mcdaidt
predicted None of these will be released by the end of 2010. (H$20 at 69%)
cluster0ne
predicted None of these will be released by the end of 2010. (H$100 at 69%)
harlech
predicted None of these will be released by the end of 2010. (H$100 at 68%)
predicted Microsoft Xbox 720 (or next Xbox console). (H$50 at 14%)
blingbearerComments (4)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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the generation began in 2005 with the Xbox launch, and continued a year later with the Wii and PS3 launches. The Journal reported that the new camera could be shown at next month's E3 show in Los Angeles, though it might not come out until later in the
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Sony's PlayStation series has had a six-year cycle: PS1 in 1994, PS2 in 2000, and PS3 in 2006. Despite Sony trying to hype the PS3 as having a ten-year life cycle (and, hey, the PS1 was manufactured for more than 11 years), it wouldn't surprise me to see a PS4 by Christmas 2012.
Microsoft seems to be running fastest of the bunch, with only four years between the Xbox's launch in 2002 and the Xbox 360 in 2006. If that trend continues, they could potentially put a successor console out by 2010, but it's unfair to extrapolate a single one release cycle into a long-running trend. Of the three, though, they're the only one that I think has any serious chance of putting out new hardware by this question's end date.
http://www.trustedreviews.com/gaming/news/2009/02/27/Acer-Comsole-Rumours-Re-Surface/p1
The first company to come out with something like the iPod Touch / PSP or iPhone/PSP will dominate the market for years and make one-trick-ponies die a quick death.
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