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Will any Bush admistration cabinet member be arrested on war crimes charges before 2010?

Background: Cabinet-level officials and even country leaders like Slobodan Milosevic of Serbia and Charles Taylor of Liberia have been arrested on war crimes charges when traveling abroad. In 2007, the New York-based Center for Constitutional Rights, the Berlin-based European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights and two Paris-based groups, the International Federation of Human Rights and the League of Human Rights together petitioned the Paris prosecutor's office to have Rumsfeld arrested, and he fled the country sooner than expected. Allegations stemming from the administration's "extraordinary renditions" of suspects from European and other countries as well as allegations related to torture at Guantanomo Bay, Abu Ghraib, and elsewhere have led to widespread hatred of the administration abroad and several calls for arrests. But war crimes charges have never been prosecuted against an American cabinet-level official before.

Politico article: War crimes next October surprise? http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0408/9786.html

International Herald Tribune article about the charges against Rumsfeld
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/10/26/europe/EU-GEN-France-Rumsfeld-Torture-Complaint.php

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
7%
No
93%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Oct 2008 5:55pm PST by capecodviking[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

30 weeks ago
valli942 predicted Yes (H$50 at 7%)
30 weeks ago
clunger predicted Yes (H$50 at 7%)
35 weeks ago
deelilley predicted Yes (H$50 at 7%)
41 weeks ago
valli942 predicted Yes (H$20 at 7%)
43 weeks ago
lola predicted Yes (H$500 at 10%)

Comments (5)

“Violations of Common Article 3 are ‘war crimes’ for which everyone involved — potentially up to and including the president of the United States — may be tried in any of the other 193 countries that are parties to the conventions.” Paul X. Kelley, former Marine Corps commandant, and Robert F. Turner, UVA Law professor in <a href="http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/washingtonpost/access/1310243111.html?dids=1310243111:1310243111&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&date=Jul+26,+2007&author=PX+Kelley+and+Robert+F+Turner&pub=The+Washington+Post&edition=&startpage=A.21&desc=War+Crimes+and+the+White+House;+The+Dishonor+in+a+Tortured+New+'Interpretation'+of+the+Geneva+Conventions">Washington Post op-ed</a>
posted 1 year ago
  2 lola
Pelosi Open to Prosecution of Bush Administration Officials
Sunday, January 18, 2009
By Bill Sammon

The House speaker suggests that the law might compel Democrats to press forth on some prosecutions of Bush administration officials, saying they may not "have a right to ignore" them. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is receptive to the idea of prosecuting some Bush administration officials, while letting others who are accused of misdeeds leave office without prosecution. "I think you look at each item and see what is a violation of the law and do we even have a right to ignore it," the California Democrat said. "And other things that are maybe time that is spent better looking to the future rather than to the past."

Rep. John Conyers, chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, announced Friday he wants to set up a commission to look into whether the Bush administration broke the law by taking the nation to war against Iraq and instituting aggressive anti-terror initiatives. The Michigan Democrat called for an "independent criminal probe into whether any laws were broken in connection with these activities." President-elect Barack Obama has not closed off the possibility of prosecutions, but hinted he does not favor them. "I don't believe that anybody is above the law," he told ABC News a week ago. "On the other hand, I also have a belief that we need to look forward as opposed to looking backwards." Pelosi, during the interview in her ceremonial office, said there is merit in both arguments.

Google News Stream @: http://tinyurl.com/8et38a
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
did you notice how she said let some go and look into others. the problem is she might have to investigate herself. bush consulted with leaders from BOTH parties on what he was doing. she better be very careful where she treads.
posted 43 weeks ago
Richard Dicker, director of the International Justice Program at Human Rights Watch, said the ruling would likely fuel discussion about investigations of possible crimes by Bush administration officials.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090305/ap_on_re_eu/eu_international_court_darfur

This came from a comment on a different question about the likely imminent arrest of Al-Bashir of Sudan.
posted 37 weeks ago

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