Created Wed 8th Oct 6:55pm PDT by 
capecodviking
All questions » Politics » US Politics » capecodviking Will any Bush admistration cabinet member be arrested on war crimes charges before 2010?
Current forecast: 6% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 6% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Cabinet-level officials and even country leaders like Slobodan Milosevic of Serbia and Charles Taylor of Liberia have been arrested on war crimes charges when traveling abroad. In 2007, the New York-based Center for Constitutional Rights, the Berlin-based European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights and two Paris-based groups, the International Federation of Human Rights and the League of Human Rights together petitioned the Paris prosecutor's office to have Rumsfeld arrested, and he fled the country sooner than expected. Allegations stemming from the administration's "extraordinary renditions" of suspects from European and other countries as well as allegations related to torture at Guantanomo Bay, Abu Ghraib, and elsewhere have led to widespread hatred of the administration abroad and several calls for arrests. But war crimes charges have never been prosecuted against an American cabinet-level official before.
Politico article: War crimes next October surprise? http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0408/9786.html
International Herald Tribune article about the charges against Rumsfeld
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/10/26/europe/EU-GEN-France-Rumsfeld-Torture-Complaint.php
Politico article: War crimes next October surprise? http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0408/9786.html
International Herald Tribune article about the charges against Rumsfeld
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/10/26/europe/EU-GEN-France-Rumsfeld-Torture-Complaint.php
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$170
Question suspends in 1 year
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%
Action history:
Created Wed 8th Oct 6:55pm PDT by capecodviking
capecodviking
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
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score: 10
Reuters South Africa 2 days ago
- Ethiopia's Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) rebel movement has slammed a government investigation refuting claims of war crimes against the people of a marginalised eastern region it operates in. Ethiopian authorities on Wednesday said a
score: 10
Los Angeles Times 5 days ago
The president could preemptively grant his cronies reprieves, but that would be admitting they committed crimes. Rosa Brooks Don't pardon those turkeys, Mr. President. I'm not talking about the feathered
score: 10
Reuters South Africa 5 days ago
a government-funded probe had found no evidence to support reports by a rights group that its military committed war crimes during a campaign against rebels in the eastern Ogaden region. Human Rights Watch (HRW) issued two reports in June that it said
score: 10
Inter Press Service 6 days ago
Barack Obama's transition team, investigations and prosecutions of high-level George W. Bush administration officials for torture and war crimes are a distant prospect. But likely or not, that won't stop pundits from debating the question of whether
score: 10
National Post 6 days ago
TORONTO -- The government lost a high-profile war crimes case on Tuesday after the Immigration and Refugee Board ruled the evidence tying a British Columbia man to atrocities in Croatia was seriously flawed. IRB Member Ross Pattee ruled
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