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Will Scientists determine that the level of drugs in British tap water is dangerous to health?

Background: The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and the Drinking Water Inspectorate has commissioned scientists to commence pilot testing of river water at intake points where it is abstracted for human consumption. They will also test drinking water after it has been through the water-treatment cycle.

Under a pilot project to begin next year, supplies will be examined for about five of the most common and potentially dangerous prescription drugs. The experts will meet over the next few weeks to decide which drugs to look for and where testing should be carried out. However, an insider said this was likely to be at selected sites on the river Thames because its water-catchment area covered the most densely populated part of the country.

Powerful anti-cancer drugs are of particular concern as they can be excreted unaltered from the body into the sewerage system. They are thought to be potentially dangerous because they are highly toxic to dividing cells, are easily dissolved in water and are difficult to destroy by conventional water-treatment techniques

Read the full The Independent article here.

Will we find out that tap water is currently unsafe for adult consumption?

Category Editor Clarification
One year after this report, and unfortunately there is still no news about the results. According to the original settlement details, the suspend date was due to move forward according to the release of the report. We have decided to move the suspend date to the end of 2010, but if there is still no news or impending news by this time then this market will be settled as 'no'.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. The report must state words to the effect of there being a significant health threat to healthy adults. The suspend date will be moved according to when the report is relelased.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
13%
No
87%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Wed 29th Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Oct 2008 6:03pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Mon 9th Feb 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 10th Feb 7:13pm PST by tisha[Admin]: was: "2009-02-09 15:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 10th Feb 7:14pm PST by tisha[Admin]: Suspend date moved forward as report has not been released yet
Changed Suspend date Tue 2nd Jun 1:48pm PST by tisha[Admin]: was: "2009-06-09 15:59:00"
Suspended Fri 9th Oct 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 26th Oct 6:36am PST by keyeshoveden[Power User]: Sorry I haven't found anything relevant on this. Can we settle as no?
Changed Suspend date Thu 29th Oct 12:14pm PST by tisha[Admin]: was: "2009-10-09 15:59:00"
Unsuspended Thu 29th Oct 12:25pm PST by tisha[Admin]: One year after this report, and unfortunately there is still no news about the results. According to the original settlement details, the suspend date was due to move forward according to the release of the report. We have decided to move the suspend date to the end of 2010, but if there is still no news or impending news by this time then this market will be settled as 'no'.

Suspend date: Wed 29th Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (67)

6 weeks ago
ksleher predicted Yes (H$100 at 8%)
6 weeks ago
carre predicted No (H$100 at 93%)
6 weeks ago
craig814 predicted Yes (H$20 at 7%)
6 weeks ago
david171 predicted No (H$200 at 93%)
6 weeks ago
charlesf predicted Yes (H$50 at 7%)

Comments (6)

Given the modern climate of "advocacy scientists", I'm not certain I would trust any report coming out of the UK (or U.S. for that matter) on a subject like this. Even those who call themselves scientists often have an agenda, and look for data that support their particular one. Nonetheless, since the settlement details carefully state that there must be noted a significant threat to healthy adults, I'll put a little on the 'NO' side.
posted 1 year ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
@raiders - I agree, scientists do often have their own agenda (confirmation bias is an interesting psychological theory http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias) but it would be interesting to see how much of a trace of drugs there is in the tap water as a black and white figure - I'm not sure how these figures could be subjective.

They say that tap water in London has gone through the average person 7 times... I personally find it tastes quite yucky ...
posted 1 year ago
Well i cant say im suprised. I may be a little spoiled because here in Oregon where we have the best water in the world but when i visited London the water there did taste a little foul.
posted 1 year ago
  4 randburg
We have waited a year for the answer to this question, and now we are supposed to wait MORE than another year to get to an answer called "no". I don't think so...
posted 3 weeks ago
  5 kruijs[Power User]
"Under a pilot project to begin next year" that's 2009

the question should be void by the end of 2009 if this prerequisite is not met eg, the project is not known to have started this year.
posted 3 weeks ago
  6 cfcm77
DEFRA would never release information that would undermine public confidence, if this survey has/does find problems steps are/will be taken to fix but 'we' will probably never know!
posted 3 weeks ago

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