Created Thu 9th Oct 10:39am PDT by 
hect0r
All questions » Politics » US Politics » hect0r 
Will the US recognise a new country by April 2009?
Current forecast: 30% chance 
1%
1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 30% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)
Since 1990, 33 new countries have been created. The US has recognized all of them. There are many peoples who want independence, but have not been recognized as independent. The statement must come before the suspension date to be considered yes.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Recognition statement must come before suspension date to be yes.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$2,028
Question suspends in 17 weeks
Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 2009 8:59pm PDT (17 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
Action history:
Created Thu 9th Oct 10:39am PDT by hect0r
hect0r
Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 2009 8:59pm PDT (17 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (8)
8 predictions
growthy
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predicted No (H$20 at 70%)Comments (0)
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score: 10
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