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Will there be more males or females in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 for 25-Oct-2008?

Settled as Tie

Again with the tie!
1. Britney Spears - girl
2. TI - boy
3. TI - boy
4. P!nk - girl
5. Katy Perry - girl
6. Rhianna - girl
7. Kevin Rudolf - boy
8. T-Pain - boy
9. Ne-Yo - boy
10. MIA - girl

Background:

Battle of the sexes, will the Billboard Hot 100 singles chart have more male or female singers in the top 10?

My rules, I made them up:
Each spot in the top ten counts for one point.
If a group sings the single, the sex of the primary singer is counted
For a true duet ("A and B"), it counts as 1/2 Male and 1/2 Female
For backing ("A with/featuring B"), it counts as the sex of A only
For pre-op transgenders, it counts as 1/2 Male and 1/2 Female

Last week was a tie:

1. TI - boy
2. TI - boy
3. P!nk - girl
4. Rihanna - girl
5. Kevin Rudolf - boy
6. Katy Perry - girl
7. Christina - girl
8. T-Pain - boy
9. MIA - girl
10. Nickelback - boy

so I've changed initial predictions a bit.


Settlement details: Billboard Hot 100
Info is released Thursday morning on:
http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Singles&f=The+Billboard+Hot+100

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Males win
28%
Females win
46%
Tie
27%
Activity: H$2,599
Settled as Tie on Fri 17th Oct 8:42am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 17th Oct 8:42am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Males win: 30%, Females win: 30%, Tie: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 9th Oct 11:02am PDT by gtown
Suspended Wed 15th Oct 9:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 17th Oct 8:39am PDT by gtown: Tie again:

1. Britney Spears - girl
2. TI - boy
3. TI - boy
4. P!nk - girl
5. Katy Perry - girl
6. Rhianna - girl
7. Kevin Rudolf - boy
8. T-Pain - boy
9. Ne-Yo - boy
10. MIA - girl
Settled as 'Tie' Fri 17th Oct 8:42am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Again with the tie!
1. Britney Spears - girl
2. TI - boy
3. TI - boy
4. P!nk - girl
5. Katy Perry - girl
6. Rhianna - girl
7. Kevin Rudolf - boy
8. T-Pain - boy
9. Ne-Yo - boy
10. MIA - girl

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 17th Oct 8:42am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (25)

25 predictions

6 weeks ago
juditholeary predicted Tie (H$20 at 26%)
6 weeks ago
bency predicted Females win (H$10 at 46%)
6 weeks ago
php_ini predicted Tie (H$20 at 32%)
6 weeks ago
robuk[Admin] predicted Females win (H$50 at 34%)
6 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted Tie (H$20 at 32%)
more

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