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Will the DOW go under 7000 points by the end of the year?

Suspended

Suspend date reached


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Suspended

Yes
22%
No
78%
Activity: H$291,877
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: last Sunday 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 9th Oct 12:21pm PDT by bilalownsu
Suspended last Sunday 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: last Sunday 11:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (370)

370 predictions

1 day ago
jon1 predicted No (H$50 at 78%)
2 days ago
bgrigore predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 19%)
2 days ago
capt_chaos predicted Yes (H$100 at 17%)
2 days ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$1,000 at 83%)
3 days ago
bgrigore predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 20%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
This is one wager I wouldn't want to win.......
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 eliminati
So I take this one to mean that it must merely dip below 7000 for one second of intraday trading, or after-hours trading, or open, or close?

I think that is the reasonable interpretation of "go under" - it certainly cannot mean just to close at that amount, therefore it must include opening, trading, and after hours?
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 bayoubear[Admin]
Since the question does not make any statement about having to close at or below 7000, just dropping below below it, even if just momentarily will satisfy the requirements for a YES
posted 7 weeks ago
bilalownsu, Are you interested in extending this or creating another one to carry thru the end of the year?
posted 1 week ago
Why does this suspend on the 1st December?
posted 1 week ago
  6 bayoubear[Admin]
This is a longer term prediction question, requiring wagerers to make their choice well in advance of the settlement date...it allows players to see how good they are at actually predicting what will happen, not simply reacting to the changes in market conditions as we near settlement. There are other questions that do suspend closer to the end of the year.....
posted 1 week ago
For those who don't like to have their H$ tied up for such a long time, http://www.hubdub.com/m23331/Will_the_Dow_Stay_over_7000_in_2008, poses the exact opposite question, and runs until Christmas.
posted 1 week ago

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