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How many seats will the Bloc Quebecois win in the General Election of Oct. 14

Settled as between 40 and 50

BQ won exactly 50 seats
http://www.canada.com/edmontonjournal/news/story.html?id=5d5dc509-96e9-48b7-b943-253343bb9ecc

Background:


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

least than 30
4%
between 30 and 40
13%
between 40 and 50
70%
more than 50
13%
Activity: H$4,971
Settled as between 40 and 50 on Thu 16th Oct 6:16pm PDT

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 16th Oct 6:16pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: least than 30: 10%, between 30 and 40: 30%, between 40 and 50: 50%, more than 50: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 9th Oct 1:37pm PDT by storekeeperathscm
Suspended Tue 14th Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 16th Oct 12:09pm PDT by evanp: Is there a reason this question isn't settled yet? Most other Canada '08 questions have been called. Elections Canada has the "preliminary results": http://enr.elections.ca/National_e.aspx This question, though, isn't even keyed to the EC results -- but to "a major news source". Here are a few: CBC says http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/ , Globe & Mail: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081014.welxnduceppe1014/BNStory/politics La Presse: http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/elections-2008/resultats/ Can we close this one? I stand to win a lot of zorkmids.
Settlement requested Thu 16th Oct 12:58pm PDT by storekeeperathscm: the information is now availible to settle this question.

the numbers have been published.
thanks
Settlement requested Thu 16th Oct 4:26pm PDT by joaoxxx: 50, see here http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/elections-2008/resultats/
Settled as 'between 40 and 50' Thu 16th Oct 6:16pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: BQ won exactly 50 seats
http://www.canada.com/edmontonjournal/news/story.html?id=5d5dc509-96e9-48b7-b943-253343bb9ecc

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 16th Oct 6:16pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (24)

24 predictions

7 weeks ago
dragonfangxl predicted between 30 and 40 (H$20 at 13%)
7 weeks ago
dragonfangxl predicted more than 50 (H$20 at 13%)
7 weeks ago
ohshanni predicted least than 30 (H$20 at 5%)
7 weeks ago
bency predicted between 40 and 50 (H$20 at 62%)
7 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted more than 50 (H$100 at 17%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 evanp
Quebec has a total of 75 seats. In the 2006 election, the breakdown was: Bloc 51, Liberals 13, Conservatives 10, Independents 1, NDP 0. In by-elections since 2006, one seat went Liberal -> NDP, one seat went Bloc -> Bloc, and one seat went Bloc -> Tory.
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 evanp
With 14,486 of 17,347 Quebec polls reporting (83.5%), Elections Canada has the Bloc with 50 seats, Tories 10, Liberals 13, NDP 1, Independent 1.
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 evanp
Is there a reason this question isn't settled yet? Most other Canada '08 questions have been called. Elections Canada has the "preliminary results": http://enr.elections.ca/National_e.aspx This question, though, isn't even keyed to the EC results -- but to "a major news source". Here are a few: CBC says http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/ , Globe & Mail: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081014.welxnduceppe1014/BNStory/politics La Presse: http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/elections-2008/resultats/ Can we close this one? I stand to win a lot of zorkmids.
posted 6 weeks ago
@evanp - Use the "Request Settlement" button above and submit the above information -- that will go directly to the category editor. Enjoy your zorkmids.. .what's the exchange rate to Hubdollars? :)
posted 6 weeks ago
  5 evanp
@jenniandboys Reached parity earlier this year, economic crisis has been bad to the zorkmid, though.
posted 6 weeks ago

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