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Will ex-Guatemalan President Alfonso Portillo end up in prison?

Current forecast: 30% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 30% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Ex-leader extradited to Guatemala
Alfonso Portillo arrives at court
Alfonso Portillo has arrived back in Guatemala City

Mexico has extradited the former Guatemalan president, Alfonso Portillo, to face corruption charges.

Mr Portillo is wanted over the disappearance of $15m (£8.5m) earmarked for the Guatemalan defence department.

Mr Portillo, who served as president from 2000 to 2004 before going to Mexico, denies any wrongdoing.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
30%
No
70%
Activity: H$441
Question suspends in 7 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 9th Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 9th Oct 2:24pm PDT by jsevigny

Suspend date: Fri 9th Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
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Predictions (5)

5 predictions

2 weeks ago
alertedclub predicted Yes (H$20 at 30%)
5 weeks ago
deelilley predicted Yes (H$100 at 30%)

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