Created Thu 9th Oct 7:17pm PDT by 
carnacthemagnificent
All questions » Business » Indices » carnacthemagnificent 
On which day will the DJIA close higher than it opened?
Settled as Monday, October 13, 2008
Monday the DJIA closed up 936 points, closing at 9387.61
Background:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined every day since September 30, 2008.
Predict the next day that it has a positive gain from the day's open to close.
After Monday's trading session this question will be suspended during open market hours to not allow this to function as a live-play question. No wagers will be allowed to be made or cashed out during the DJIA trading hours each day. After the market closes, the question will be unsuspended if it has not been settled. The question will be suspended from 9:30 AM EDT to 4:00 PM EDT each trading day beginning Tuesday morning, 10/14.
Predict the next day that it has a positive gain from the day's open to close.
After Monday's trading session this question will be suspended during open market hours to not allow this to function as a live-play question. No wagers will be allowed to be made or cashed out during the DJIA trading hours each day. After the market closes, the question will be unsuspended if it has not been settled. The question will be suspended from 9:30 AM EDT to 4:00 PM EDT each trading day beginning Tuesday morning, 10/14.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Friday, October 10, 2008 |
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Monday, October 13, 2008 |
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Tuesday, October 14, 2008 |
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Wednesday, October 15, 2008 |
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Thursday, October 16, 2008 |
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Friday, October 17, 2008 |
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Monday, October 20, 2008 |
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Tuesday, October 21, 2008 |
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Wednesday, October 22, 2008 |
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After Wednesday, October 22, 2008 |
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Activity: H$38,535
Settled as Monday, October 13, 2008 on Mon 13th Oct 2:31pm PDT
Suspend date: Wed 22nd Oct 1pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 13th Oct 2:31pm PDT
Initial likelihoods: Friday, October 10, 2008: 17%, Monday, October 13, 2008: 23%, Tuesday, October 14, 2008: 20%, Wednesday, October 15, 2008: 13%, Thursday, October 16, 2008: 10%, Friday, October 17, 2008: 7%, Monday, October 20, 2008: 4%, Tuesday, October 21, 2008: 2%, Wednesday, October 22, 2008: 1%, After Wednesday, October 22, 2008: 3%
Action history:
Created Thu 9th Oct 7:18pm PDT by carnacthemagnificent
carnacthemagnificent
Suspended Fri 10th Oct 6:26am PDT by 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Flagged by super user: Suspended at opening bell.
newswrangler: Flagged by super user: Suspended at opening bell.
Unsuspended Fri 10th Oct 6:37am PDT by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: allowed to run
jenniandboys: allowed to run
Suspended Fri 10th Oct 12:48pm PDT by newswrangler: Flagged by super user: suspended prior to closing bell
newswrangler: Flagged by super user: suspended prior to closing bell
Unsuspended Fri 10th Oct 1:09pm PDT by 
bayoubear: Conditions were not reached to satisfy market...market can continue to run until suspension date and time, unless conditions are met to settle at an earlier time.
bayoubear: Conditions were not reached to satisfy market...market can continue to run until suspension date and time, unless conditions are met to settle at an earlier time.
Suspended Sat 11th Oct 1:17am PDT by 
mork: Flagged by super user: markets closed on Columbus Day...?
mork: Flagged by super user: markets closed on Columbus Day...?
Unsuspended Sat 11th Oct 2:33am PDT by 
ryanj: Markets not closed due to Columbus Day
ryanj: Markets not closed due to Columbus Day
Changed Description Mon 13th Oct 5:33am PDT by bayoubear: show details
bayoubear: show details ... day's open to close.. <br/> <br/> <b>After Monday's trading session this question will be suspended during open market hours to not allow this to function as a live-play question. No wagers will be allowed to be made or cashed out during the DJIA trading hours each day. After the market closes, the question will be unsuspended if it has not been settled. The question will be suspended from 9:30 AM EDT to 4:00 PM EDT each trading beginning Tuesday morning, 10/14.</b>
Changed Description Mon 13th Oct 5:37am PDT by bayoubear: show details
bayoubear: show details ... day since September 30, 2008. <.<br/> <br/> Predict the next ... day's open to close. <.<br/> <br/> <b>After Monday' ... :00 PM EDT each trading day beginning Tuesday morning, 10/14
Settlement requested Mon 13th Oct 2:18pm PDT by 
kgholderman: http://finance.google.com/finance?client=ob&q=INDEXDJX:DJI
kgholderman: http://finance.google.com/finance?client=ob&q=INDEXDJX:DJI
Settled as 'Monday, October 13, 2008' Mon 13th Oct 2:31pm PDT by bayoubear: Monday the DJIA closed up 936 points, closing at 9387.61
bayoubear: Monday the DJIA closed up 936 points, closing at 9387.61
Suspend date: Wed 22nd Oct 1pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 13th Oct 2:31pm PDT
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (213)
213 predictions
harryhayfield
jsevigny
bobdevine
letmewinplees
cognosComments (17)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Connecticut Post 7 weeks ago
What makes up the Dow?. . The daily three-digit drops on the Dow Jones Industrial Average this week scream from headlines. But what are the ...
score: 10
Schaeffers Research 7 weeks ago
took your Dramamine today, because once the opening bell sounded, the volatile market was off and running. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped like a rock, falling below the 8,000 level (for the first time since 2003) within the first 10
score: 10
Schaeffers Research 7 weeks ago
In what is probably one of the most bizarre scenarios I can think of, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades in a low-to-high range of more than 1000 points and ends the day more or less flat (relative to where it was throughout the day).
score: 10
Schaeffers Research 7 weeks ago
took your Dramamine today, because once the opening bell sounded, the volatile market was off and running. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped like a rock, falling below the 8,000 level (for the first time since 2003) within the first 10
score: 10
Xinhuanet 7 weeks ago
NEW YORK, Oct. 9 (Xinhua) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped more than 7 percent Thursday as panic sell-off dominated markets. Investors worried that higher borrowing costs could make carmakers, insurers and energy companies the next victims
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carnacthemagnificent
80% of previous questions settled successfully
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If at 3:00 it had been up, it would have been suspended, but not before...the question is scheduled to run for several more days
Will unsuspend
But the question's still got legs...how far will it run?
<< The Board has determined that the Exchange will not be open for business on New Year's Day, Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, Washington's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving Day and Christmas Day. Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, Washington's Birthday and Memorial Day will be celebrated on the third Monday in January, the third Monday in February and the last Monday in May, respectively
The Exchange Board has also determined that, when any holiday observed by the Exchange falls on a Saturday, the Exchange will not be open for business on the preceding Friday and when any holiday observed by the Exchange falls on a Sunday, the Exchange will not be open for business on the succeeding Monday, unless unusual business conditions exist, such as the ending of a monthly or the yearly accounting period. >>
Anyway, it shouldn't be an issue if you're predicting "After Wednesday, October 22, 2008" ; )
After Monday's trading session this question will be suspended during open market hours to not allow this to function as a live-play question. No wagers will be allowed to be made or cashed out during the DJIA trading hours each day. After the market closes, the question will be unsuspended if it has not been settled. The question will be suspended from 9:30 AM EDT to 4:00 PM EDT each trading day beginning Tuesday morning, 10/14.
This doesn't affect play for Monday as I don't believe that would be fair to those who are currently in the market, particularly since it may well be settled today. But if not, it will apply to subsequent days.
This is like semi-live play.
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