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Will Ephemerisle be held in 2009?

Current forecast: 27% chance 10%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 27% likely to happen (down 10% in last 1 day)

A "burning man" on the ocean originating from sea-steading advocates. See http://patrissimo.livejournal.com/885270.html and http://seasteading.org/seastead.org/ephemerisle/index.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
27%
No
73%
Activity: H$9,096
Question suspends in 1 year
 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

5 weeks ago
monkey_man_444 predicted Yes (H$50 at 37%)
5 weeks ago
letmewinplees[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
5 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$333 at 32%)
5 weeks ago
youbet predicted No (H$100 at 69%)
5 weeks ago
php_ini predicted Yes (H$20 at 33%)
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