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Halloween 08, which higher... first 2 digits of closing DJIA or price of oil?

Settled as Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close

DJIA closed at 9325.01 and Oil was 65.96

So the 93 for the DJIA was higher than the 65 for the Oil.

Background:

At time of this market creation the DJIA closed today @ 8451 and oil closed at $78/bbl. This market is comparing the first two digits of the closing DJIA price, (in this example it would be "*84" to the price of oil, in whole dollars, here @ "78". Halloween will be the last closing Friday of the DJIA prior to the US election on the following Tuesday.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close
96%
Closing DJIA price on 10/31/08 less than oil close
3%
Closing DJIA matches closing on price 10/31/08
1%
Any other outcome not mentioned above
0%
Activity: H$30,202
Settled as Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close on Sat 1st Nov 5:55am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 1st Nov 5:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close: 47%, Closing DJIA price on 10/31/08 less than oil close: 47%, Closing DJIA matches closing on price 10/31/08: 4%, Any other outcome not mentioned above: 2%

Action history:

Created Fri 10th Oct 7:24pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 31st Oct 8:25pm PDT by dieseldog: DJIA higher.

dow closed at 9325.01 93
oil closed around $65.96 65

http://www.wtrg.com/daily/crudeoilprice.html

http://money.cnn.com/data/markets/dow/
Settled as 'Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close' Sat 1st Nov 5:55am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: DJIA closed at 9325.01 and Oil was 65.96

So the 93 for the DJIA was higher than the 65 for the Oil.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 1st Nov 5:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (97)

97 predictions

4 weeks ago
thepeoplegeekllc predicted Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close (H$60 at 96%)
4 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Any other outcome not mentioned above (H$5 at 0%)
4 weeks ago
jcsampley predicted Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close (H$100 at 96%)
4 weeks ago
divakaleigh predicted Closing DJIA price on 10/31 more than oil close (H$70 at 90%)

Comments (4)

Welcome back!!! :-)
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
Can always count on you for interesting questions posed in an imaginative way ! ! !
posted 7 weeks ago
great question!

lol, I'm racking my brain trying to think of what option 4 would entail....

maybe market is shut down for some reason? idk'z
posted 6 weeks ago
  4 pixelpaws
@ robamichael - I'm wondering the game thing, though I'm going to guess it would entail the price of either falling so far that there aren't two digits to put together. Even with as bad as the economy is, though, I can't see the DJIA or the price of oil falling to 0.09 or lower, though. At least not this month. ;)
posted 5 weeks ago

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