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What percentage of the primary vote will the Greens receive at the Ryde by-election?

Settled as More than 10%

11.2% for Green candidate.
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2008/byelections/ryde.htm

Background:

Being contested by Lindsay Peters who has quite a high profile in the area as he contested Bennelong in the 2007 Federal Election and Epping in the 2007 State Election.

The Greens got 7.9% last time

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2008/byelections/ryde.htm">http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2008/byelections/ryde.htm<;/a>


Settlement details: As reported by the NSWEC

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Less than 5%
0%
5.01%-7.0%
10%
7.01-10.0%
48%
More than 10%
41%
Activity: H$6,985
Settled as More than 10% on Wed 22nd Oct 7:45pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 4pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 22nd Oct 7:45pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 17th Oct 4pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 5%: 2%, 5.01%-7.0%: 20%, 7.01-10.0%: 40%, More than 10%: 38%

Action history:

Created Fri 10th Oct 7:55pm PDT by australiavotes
Suspended Fri 17th Oct 4pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 18th Oct 8:01pm PDT by gingerboi: http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2008/byelections/ryde.htm
Settled as 'More than 10%' Wed 22nd Oct 7:45pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: 11.2% for Green candidate.
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2008/byelections/ryde.htm

Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 4pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 22nd Oct 7:45pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 17th Oct 4pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

6 weeks ago
kirin predicted 7.01-10.0% (H$20 at 48%)
6 weeks ago
gtown predicted More than 10% (H$5 at 42%)
6 weeks ago
australiavotes predicted More than 10% (H$100 at 41%)
6 weeks ago
australiavotes predicted More than 10% (H$80 at 40%)
7 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 5.01%-7.0% (H$300 at 8%)
more

Comments (4)

Currently on 11.6% with only pre-oll and postal votes to count. The percentage won't change much. "more than 10%" is the outcome.

http://australiavotes2007.blogspot.com/2008/10/live-nsw-by-election-results.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 gingerboi
yes, I agree. Time to take this market around the corner away from the kids and wife and put it quietly out of its misery with a quick 'enter' to the head.
posted 6 weeks ago
They should be finished with postal votes tonight. I will request settlement when the exact figure is known.
posted 5 weeks ago
Final Result: 11.2%
posted 5 weeks ago

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