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Will there be a 2-loss team in the BCS College Football title game?

Current forecast: 19% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 19% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

With a few of the big boys already falling, and a spate of top 10 matchups over the next few weeks, as well as conference championship games, is this prime time for a 2-loss team to stake its claim as "best" in the land?

I chose Dec. 6th at noon as the cutoff date, as many of the major conferences will play their title games that day.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
19%
No
81%
Activity: H$2,604
Question suspends in 3 days

Suspend date: this Saturday 9am PST (3 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 11th Oct 6:25am PDT by eliminati

Suspend date: this Saturday 9am PST (3 days to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

2 days ago
mafisch predicted No (H$500 at 82%)
2 days ago
eliminati predicted No (H$500 at 81%)
2 days ago
crowe predicted No (H$250 at 81%)
1 week ago
noodle_head05 predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
1 week ago
smv5047 predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
more

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