Created Sat 11th Oct 7:38am PDT by 
eliminati
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When will Starcraft II be released by Blizzard in North America?
Current forecast: Jan-Jun 2009 (46% chance
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)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Jan-Jun 2009 with a probability of 46% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Starcraft is one of the most popular games ever released in the world, still fervently played over 10 years after its release. It is almost considered a national sport in places like South Korea.
Starcraft II is deep in development by Blizzard (makers of World of Warcraft and Diablo), but Blizzard plays by its own rules, truly releasing games only "when they are ready."
And before anyone tries to void or suspened this due to online retailers listing a release date, NOONE has a real release date until Blizzard releases it to the public and retailers simultaneously. They are notorious for NOT leaking these.
It is highly likely it will be released in 2009 or 2010, but I still put an "after" prediction so it will settle a winner no matter what, and a 2008 just in case they surprise everyone.
SETTLEMENT: ONLY BLIZZARD'S OFFICIAL RELEASE DATE.
Clarification: With the news that the game will be released in multiple parts, this market will settle on the release of the FIRST part.
Starcraft II is deep in development by Blizzard (makers of World of Warcraft and Diablo), but Blizzard plays by its own rules, truly releasing games only "when they are ready."
And before anyone tries to void or suspened this due to online retailers listing a release date, NOONE has a real release date until Blizzard releases it to the public and retailers simultaneously. They are notorious for NOT leaking these.
It is highly likely it will be released in 2009 or 2010, but I still put an "after" prediction so it will settle a winner no matter what, and a 2008 just in case they surprise everyone.
SETTLEMENT: ONLY BLIZZARD'S OFFICIAL RELEASE DATE.
Clarification: With the news that the game will be released in multiple parts, this market will settle on the release of the FIRST part.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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2008 |
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Jan-Jun 2009 |
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July-Dec 2009 |
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Jan-Jun 2010 |
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July-Dec 2010 |
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After Jan 1, 2011 |
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Activity: H$310
Question suspends in 2 years
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 8:59pm PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: 2008: 10%, Jan-Jun 2009: 45%, July-Dec 2009: 30%, Jan-Jun 2010: 10%, July-Dec 2010: 4%, After Jan 1, 2011: 1%
Action history:
Created Sat 11th Oct 7:38am PDT by eliminati
eliminati
Suspended Mon 27th Oct 10:06am PDT by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: suspended pending clarification
jenniandboys: suspended pending clarification
Unsuspended Mon 27th Oct 2:24pm PDT by jenniandboys: clarified
jenniandboys: clarified
Changed Description Mon 27th Oct 2:24pm PDT by jenniandboys: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... in places like South Korea. <.<br/> <br/> Starcraft II is ... only "when they are ready." <."<br/> <br/> And before anyone ... notorious for NOT leaking these. <.<br/> <br/> It is highly ... in case they surprise everyone. <.<br/> <br/> SETTLEMENT: ONLY BLIZZARD'S OFFICIAL RELEASE DATE..<br/> <br/> <b>Clarification: With the news that the game will be released in multiple parts, this market will settle on the release of the FIRST part.</b>
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 8:59pm PST (2 years to go)
more info...
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