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When will Starcraft II be released by Blizzard in North America?

Background: Starcraft is one of the most popular games ever released in the world, still fervently played over 10 years after its release. It is almost considered a national sport in places like South Korea.

Starcraft II is deep in development by Blizzard (makers of World of Warcraft and Diablo), but Blizzard plays by its own rules, truly releasing games only "when they are ready."

And before anyone tries to void or suspened this due to online retailers listing a release date, NOONE has a real release date until Blizzard releases it to the public and retailers simultaneously. They are notorious for NOT leaking these.

It is highly likely it will be released in 2009 or 2010, but I still put an "after" prediction so it will settle a winner no matter what, and a 2008 just in case they surprise everyone.

SETTLEMENT: ONLY BLIZZARD'S OFFICIAL RELEASE DATE.

Clarification: With the news that the game will be released in multiple parts, this market will settle on the release of the FIRST part.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
2008
0%
Jan-Jun 2009
2%
July-Dec 2009
1%
Jan-Jun 2010
43%
July-Dec 2010
53%
After Jan 1, 2011
1%
Question suspends in 40 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 8:59pm PST (40 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 2008: 10%, Jan-Jun 2009: 45%, July-Dec 2009: 30%, Jan-Jun 2010: 10%, July-Dec 2010: 4%, After Jan 1, 2011: 1%

Action history:

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 8:59pm PST (40 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (72)

1 week ago
lukecd19 predicted After Jan 1, 2011 (H$20 at 1%)
3 weeks ago
eliminati predicted Jan-Jun 2010 (H$2,500 at 21%)
3 weeks ago
eliminati predicted After Jan 1, 2011 (H$20 at 0%)
3 weeks ago
tgallag2 predicted July-Dec 2010 (H$1,000 at 24%)
4 weeks ago
neilp predicted July-Dec 2010 (H$100 at 16%)

Comments (2)

With the announcement that Starcraft II will be released as a trilogy (three installments, one for each of the three races), will this settle at the release of the first installment, or the third installment? Because that would seriously change my bet.
posted 1 year ago
Ps. Thanks for the great questions on Starcraft and Diablo!! I can't wait for either!
posted 1 year ago

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