Created Sat 11th Oct 7:38am PDT by 
eliminati
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When will Diablo III be released by Blizzard in North America?
Current forecast: July-Dec 2009 (36% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is July-Dec 2009 with a probability of 36% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Diablo is one of the most popular single player RPG's ever released in the world, with both Diablo I and Diablo II still getting play time and hard drive space on many a PC.
Diablo III is deep in development by Blizzard (makers of World of Warcraft and Starcraft), but Blizzard plays by its own rules, truly releasing games only "when they are ready."
And before anyone tries to void or suspened this due to online retailers listing a release date, NOONE has a real release date until Blizzard releases it to the public and retailers simultaneously. They are notorious for NOT leaking these.
It is highly likely it will be released in 2009 or 2010, but I still put an "after" prediction so it will settle a winner no matter what.
SETTLEMENT: ONLY BLIZZARD'S OFFICIAL RELEASE DATE.
Diablo III is deep in development by Blizzard (makers of World of Warcraft and Starcraft), but Blizzard plays by its own rules, truly releasing games only "when they are ready."
And before anyone tries to void or suspened this due to online retailers listing a release date, NOONE has a real release date until Blizzard releases it to the public and retailers simultaneously. They are notorious for NOT leaking these.
It is highly likely it will be released in 2009 or 2010, but I still put an "after" prediction so it will settle a winner no matter what.
SETTLEMENT: ONLY BLIZZARD'S OFFICIAL RELEASE DATE.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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2008 |
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Jan-Jun 2009 |
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July-Dec 2009 |
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Jan-Jun 2010 |
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July-Dec 2010 |
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After Jan 1, 2011 |
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Activity: H$640
Question suspends in 2 years
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 9am PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: 2008: 1%, Jan-Jun 2009: 30%, July-Dec 2009: 38%, Jan-Jun 2010: 20%, July-Dec 2010: 10%, After Jan 1, 2011: 1%
Action history:
Created Sat 11th Oct 7:38am PDT by eliminati
eliminati
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 9am PST (2 years to go)
more info...
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peachysnowbug
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