gtown 
Will the New York Times Hardcover Fiction Bestseller be a debut for October 26, 2008?
1#http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/books/bestseller/besthardfiction.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
Background:
http://www.nytimes.com/pages/books/bestseller/index.html
Will next week's #1 be this book, another from the list or a debut?
Initial likelihoods based on results from the last 10 weeks, available here: <a href="http://www.hawes.com/2008/2008.htm">http://www.hawes.com/2008/2008.htm<;/a>.
Settlement details:
As reported by the New York Times
<a href="<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/pages/books/bestseller/index.html">http://www.nytimes.com/pages/books/bestseller/index.html<;/a>"><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/pages/books/bestseller/index.html<;">http://www.nytimes.com/pages/books/bestseller/index.html<;</a>;/a>
and then select Complete Hardcover Fiction List
Settled
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Debut |
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Last week's #1 |
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Last week's #2 or lower |
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Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 9am PDT Settlement date: Sat 18th Oct 7:27pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 17th Oct 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Debut: 70%, Last week's #1: 20%, Last week's #2 or lower: 10%
Action history:
gtown gtown: last week's #1:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/books/bestseller/besthardfiction.html
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: 1#http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/books/bestseller/besthardfiction.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 9am PDT Settlement date: Sat 18th Oct 7:27pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 17th Oct 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (8)
8 predictions
robuk
lachapin
greengenie
mrperfkt
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