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Will David Plouffe or David Axelrod be a part of President Obama's White House?

Settled as Yes

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/11/19/obama-announces-more-white-house-staff/

Background:

Barack Obama's longtime campaign strategists have been key to his political journey. Should he win the election, will either gentlemen be invited to join the new administration? Presidents have a history with bringing with them a few staffers from the campaigns, which are long enough to favor solid working relationships. A few examples: George H. W. Bush had David Demarest, Clinton carried on with George Stephanopoulos, and President Bush appointed Karl Rove as his advisor. Will the same happen with David Plouffe and/or David Axelrod?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. This question does not extend to other staffers, like Robert Gibbs and Devorah Adler.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
70%
No
30%
Activity: H$14,776
Settled as Yes on Wed 19th Nov 5:28pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 8pm PST (7 weeks to go) Settlement date: Wed 19th Nov 5:28pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 11th Oct 5:13pm PDT by joaoxxx
Changed Suspend date Sat 11th Oct 7:16pm PDT by destry[Admin]: was: "2009-11-04 20:00:00"
Settlement requested Thu 6th Nov 7:22pm PST by joaoxxx: Axelrod to accept Senior Adviser position, please suspend until official confirmation-- http://blogs.abcnews.com/george/2008/11/axelrod-emanuel.html?xid=rss-page
Suspended Thu 6th Nov 7:24pm PST by destry[Admin]: Pending review of news...
Settlement requested Wed 19th Nov 5:26pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Announced now
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/11/19/obama-announces-more-white-house-staff/

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 8pm PST (7 weeks to go) Settlement date: Wed 19th Nov 5:28pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

3 weeks ago
davecade predicted Yes (H$20 at 70%)
3 weeks ago
tarpash predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 66%)
3 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 61%)
3 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 59%)
3 weeks ago
cuyaya predicted Yes (H$100 at 58%)
more

Comments (6)

Not to nitpick.... but if Obama doesn't end up in the White House the "No" settles, correct?
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 joaoxxx
If Obama doesn't get to the White House, these two won't have their pony.
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 destry[Admin]
If Barack Obama is not elected this market will be voided.
posted 7 weeks ago
  4 joaoxxx
I wasn't avoiding a serious reply to valornhonor. There is an ongoing question regarding Rudy Giuliani having a place in a republican administration, so I assumed the same rules applied. Nevertheless, and not being able to flag this question for review at the moment, I think valornhonor's comment should be taken into consideration as a settlement rule.
posted 7 weeks ago
  5 joaoxxx
Oh, and let me add: maybe the correct formula for a question that couldn't be voided is "Will David Plouffe or David Axelrod be a part of the next administration?".
posted 7 weeks ago
  6 ianochaye
The question itself clearly states that in the event of Barack not winning the market is voided
posted 7 weeks ago

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