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3rd Presidential Debate - 10/15 - Will any of the candidates say the word "racism"?

Settled as No

No mention in transcripts.

Background:

Since the third debate is about domestic policy and the economy, "racism" as a word might come up in the debate for various reasons.

Current campaign events have the McCain side accused of race-baiting, from using a black person to link Obama to Fannie and Freddie's downfall to allowing surrogates to use "Barack Hussein Obama" in rallies. The Obama camp, on the other hand, has tried to turn around the subject, accusing McCain of veiled racism when he used "that one" when referring to Obama, and the candidate himself is complaining the republicans don't like him because he doesn't "look like those other presidents on the dollar bills".

Race might come up in the debate to give both candidates an opportunity to clarify some statements, and also to discuss affirmative action, or race relations (recent studies have claimed the latino population will rise to 1/3 of the total in 2050).


Settlement details: As reported by the CPD transcripts. Only "racism" counts as YES (not "racist"!), and only if uttered by one of the candidates, not by the moderator. If they say it when quoting somebody else's words, it still settles as YES.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$35,057
Settled as No on Wed 15th Oct 8:11pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 6:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 8:11pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 6:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 11th Oct 9pm PDT by joaoxxx
Suspended Wed 15th Oct 6:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 15th Oct 7:42pm PDT by rbrog77: They didn't
Settled as 'No' Wed 15th Oct 8:11pm PDT by destry[Admin]: No mention in transcripts.

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 6:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 8:11pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 6:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (56)

56 predictions

6 weeks ago
jetdoc52 predicted No (H$119 at 90%)
6 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 10%)
6 weeks ago
cjg999 predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)
6 weeks ago
dschulian predicted Yes (H$10 at 10%)
6 weeks ago
conspiracy2riot predicted Yes (H$10 at 10%)
more

Comments (5)

Let me put it this way. No one has said the word "racism" in a a debate since 1847 when Lincoln was running (suprisingly he wasnt speaking out against it. He was actually speaking for it). I think its unlikley that they are going to start now.
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 joaoxxx
Then again, Barack Obama is the first african-american to be nominated by a major political party for president.
posted 7 weeks ago
Not true. Cynthia McKinney was the first. She was (and is) sponsered by the communist party. Which represents ~2 billion of the worlds population. I dont know how many people are democrats but my guess is its less than 2 billion.
posted 7 weeks ago
  4 mork[Power User]
I shoulda asked how many times they were going to say "nude erection"
:/
posted 6 weeks ago
0?
posted 6 weeks ago

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