Created Sun 12th Oct 11:20am PDT by kelly

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DJIA - What will be the dollar (point) difference between open and close October 13, 2008?

Due to the volatility of the market, setting the odds of a 400 or great point difference at 1% is not reasonable...as well as setting a 0-50 point difference and 50.01 -100 option at 25% each...until the market returns to some degree of stability, large price swings should be considered the norm, not the rarity....

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

DJIA - What will be the dollar (point) difference between open and close October 13, 2008?

    0 - 50.00

    50.01 - 100.00

    100.01 - 150.00

    150.01 - 200.00

    200.01 - 250.00

    250.01 - 300.00

    300.01 - 350.00

    350.01 - 400.00

    400.01 - and greater

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Forecast history, %

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Voided

	0 - 50.00	25%
	50.01 - 100.00	25%
	100.01 - 150.00	20%
	150.01 - 200.00	10%
	200.01 - 250.00	5%
	250.01 - 300.00	5%
	300.01 - 350.00	5%
	350.01 - 400.00	4%
	400.01 - and greater	1%

Voided Mon 13th Oct 3:26am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 13th Oct 12:30pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: 0 - 50.00: 25%, 50.01 - 100.00 : 25%, 100.01 - 150.00: 20%, 150.01 - 200.00: 10%, 200.01 - 250.00: 5%, 250.01 - 300.00: 5%, 300.01 - 350.00: 5%, 350.01 - 400.00: 4%, 400.01 - and greater: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 12th Oct 11:20am PDT by kelly

Voided Mon 13th Oct 3:26am PDT by bayoubear: Due to the volatility of the market, setting the odds of a 400 or great point difference at 1% is not reasonable...as well as setting a 0-50 point difference and 50.01 -100 option at 25% each...until the market returns to some degree of stability, large price swings should be considered the norm, not the rarity....

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Suspend date: Mon 13th Oct 12:30pm PDT
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Predictions (17)

17 predictions

7 weeks ago

bgrigore predicted 200.01 - 250.00 (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

infernalmachine predicted 400.01 - and greater (H$200 at 26%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 150.01 - 200.00 (H$100 at 10%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 400.01 - and greater (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 200.01 - 250.00 (H$100 at 7%)

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7 weeks ago

bgrigore predicted 200.01 - 250.00 (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

infernalmachine predicted 400.01 - and greater (H$200 at 26%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 150.01 - 200.00 (H$100 at 10%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 400.01 - and greater (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 200.01 - 250.00 (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 250.01 - 300.00 (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 300.01 - 350.00 (H$100 at 7%)

7 weeks ago

cognos predicted 350.01 - 400.00 (H$100 at 6%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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